The price of Cardano (ADA) has experienced a decline in recent weeks. Following a peak at a 23-month high at $0.808 on March 11, the price of ADA has fallen by over 28%, and it is now hovering just below the $0.60 level. Notably, Cardano has underperformed compared to its competitors, slipping to the 10th position among the largest cryptocurrencies by market cap.
However, a crypto analyst, known as Trend Rider (@TrendRidersTR) on X, has that ADA is showing clear signs of a bull run based on technical analysis of its Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Simple Moving Average (SMA) crossovers.
What This Means For Cardano Price
According to Trend Rider’s recent post on X, Cardano’s current market behavior mirrors a rare pattern in the one month chart (ADA/USD) observed only once before, which led to a significant price surge from $0.05 to $3.00.
The analyst emphasized, “ADA’s undeniable bull run is here. With its second RSI crossover in history, it’s reminiscent of when prices soared from $0.05 to $3. This rare event, marking a potential trend shift as the RSI crosses its SMA, has flawlessly predicted past cycles shifts at it’s early stages.”
The analysis presented by Trend Rider focuses on the RSI, a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements, and its crossover with the SMA, a common trading signal interpreted as a potential bullish or bearish market indicator.
Cardano price analysis | Source: X @TrendRidersTR
The post details three critical phases in Cardano’s recent market activity. The first crossover occurred shortly after the COVID-19 pandemic onset when ADA traded at $0.19, marked by a substantial price increase following the crossover event.
At the end of the 2021 bull run, a bearish crossover took place that heralded a prolonged bear market. “Notice how perfect the bearish crossover anticipated the bear market. This is an extremely strong validation for this indicator. Making it very relevant to predict ADA long term cycles,” the analyst states.
The second bullish crossover of the RSI with the SMA occurred in October and November 2023, this event was initially met with market rejection a few months earlier, adding credibility to the indicator’s reliability in predicting long-term market trends.
Trend Rider concludes, “The RSI and its SMA crossovers are an extremely reliable source to identify ADA bull runs and bear markets at its early stages.” This analysis suggests that Cardano is currently entering a bull market phase, reinforcing the optimistic outlook for ADA.
Moreover, the analyst warned the one-month chart reflects a macro perspective for holders, “each candle represents one month, so you can expect huge volatility within each candle.” Furthermore, he cautioned of the inherent risks in crypto investments, noting the importance of a personalized investment strategy to navigate potential market volatility and unforeseen events, often referred to as ‘black swan’ events.
“VERY IMPORTANT: Personally, these macro charts help me see the bigger picture, but I always use my own process to secure profits and protect myself from any black swan event,” Trend Rider added.
If history is any indicator, the current patterns could spell a lucrative phase for Cardano holders, but as always in crypto markets, caution remains a critical companion to enthusiasm.
Featured image from Biztech Africa, chart from TradingView.com
Jake Simmons, a dedicated crypto journalist, has been passionate about Bitcoin since 2016 when he first learned about it. Through his extensive work with wncen.com and Bitcoinist.com, Jake has become a trusted voice in the crypto community, guiding newcomers and seasoned enthusiasts alike towards a deeper understanding of this dynamic field.
Read more
His mission is simple yet profound: to demystify Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies and make them accessible to everyone.
With a professional career in the Bitcoin and crypto scene that began right after graduating with a degree in Information Systems in 2017, Jake has immersed himself in the industry. Jake joined the NewsBTC Group in late 2022. His educational background provides him with the technical prowess and analytical skills necessary to dissect complex topics and present them in an understandable format. Whether you are a casual reader curious about Bitcoin or an investor seeking to navigate the latest market trends, Jake’s insights offer valuable perspectives that bridge the gap between complex technology and everyday usage.
Jake is not just a reporter on technological trends; he is a firm believer in the transformative potential of Bitcoin over traditional fiat currencies. To him, the current financial system is on the brink of chaos, propelled by unchecked government actions and flawed Keynesian economic policies. Drawing from the principles of the Austrian school of economics, Jake views Bitcoin not merely as a digital asset but as a crucial step towards rectifying a failing monetary system. His libertarian views reinforce his stance that just as the church was separated from the state, so too should money be freed from governmental control.
For Jake, Bitcoin represents more than just an investment; it's a peaceful revolution. He envisions a future where Bitcoin fosters a sustainable and responsible financial framework for generations to come. His advocacy is not about opposition but about evolution, about laying the groundwork for a system that prioritizes transparency and equity over secrecy and inequality.
As a journalist, Jake’s articles are crafted with the precision of a scholar and the passion of a true believer. He provides not only news but also thoughtful analysis that connects the dots between daily developments and larger economic theories. His work is a beacon for those lost in the technical jargon often associated with crypto discussions, illuminating the practical implications and benefits of these technologies.
In summary, Jake Simmons is not just reporting on a revolution; he wants to be part of it, fully committed to enhancing public understanding and adoption of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. His work is more than just a collection of articles; it’s a resource, a guide, and a companion for anyone ready to explore the potential of this digital frontier. Whether you are taking your first steps into crypto or are a veteran looking to stay on top of the latest trends, Jake’s insights provide clarity and foresight in an often unpredictable industry. Join him on this journey to reshape the world of finance, one post at a time.
You can engage with his latest takes on Twitter: @realJakeSimmons.
Close
Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes
only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any
investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own
research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website
entirely at your own risk.
