{"id":400224,"date":"2019-10-01T19:00:31","date_gmt":"2019-10-01T19:00:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/?p=400224"},"modified":"2019-10-01T18:49:40","modified_gmt":"2019-10-01T18:49:40","slug":"bitcoin-falls-below-stock-to-flow-model-will-the-halving-be-front-run-by-bulls","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/news\/bitcoin-falls-below-stock-to-flow-model-will-the-halving-be-front-run-by-bulls\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Falls Below Stock-to-Flow Model, Will The Halving Be Front Run By Bulls?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">The recent price action in <a href=\"\/tag\/bitcoin\" rel=\"nofollow\">Bitcoin<\/a> markets has brought the price of the first-ever crypto-asset below the popular stock-to-flow model popularized by crypto analyst 100TrillionUSD.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">With only seven months to go until Bitcoin\u2019s halving, and with the asset\u2019s prices falling instead of rising, could any chance of the halving being front run by investors be gone? Or does the stock-to-flow model suggest that Bitcoin will soon bounce and return on its trajectory towards a new all-time high around the halving?<\/span><\/p>\n<h2>Bitcoin Falls Below Oft-Cited Stock-to-Flow Model<\/h2>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\"><a href=\"\/tag\/bitcoin\" rel=\"nofollow\">Bitcoin<\/a> is a disruptive, new financial asset that has attributes unlike anything before it. It\u2019s an emerging technology and an asset that\u2019s hard-capped by mathematics and computer code, giving it a scarcity that\u2019s similar to gold and not much else.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><em><strong>Related Reading | <a href=\"https:\/\/wncen.com\/2019\/07\/29\/cnbc-host-pushes-bitcoin-cites-halving-and-scarcity-as-catalyst-for-55k-btc\/\">CNBC Host Pushes Crypto, Cites Halving and Scarcity As Catalyst for $55K BTC<\/a>\u00a0<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">Because of its unique attributes, projecting Bitcoin\u2019s value can be difficult. However, crypto analyst 100TrillionUSD has created the <a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/@100trillionUSD\/modeling-bitcoins-value-with-scarcity-91fa0fc03e25\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Bitcoin stock-to-flow model<\/a>, designed to as accurately as possible predict what the asset\u2019s price may be depending on its current supply.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">The model is so widely regarded and respected, it&#8217;s even been cited on <a href=\"https:\/\/wncen.com\/2019\/07\/29\/cnbc-host-pushes-bitcoin-cites-halving-and-scarcity-as-catalyst-for-55k-btc\/\">CNBC\u2019s Squawk Box by host Joe Kernen<\/a> to other notable figures in the financial sector.<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/bitcoin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow\">#bitcoin<\/a> halving .. 7 months to go \ud83d\ude80<\/p>\n<p>Btc slightly below stock to flow model. <br \/>I guess no front-running the halving (yet)! <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/IfRamOJM7X\" rel=\"nofollow\">pic.twitter.com\/IfRamOJM7X<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; PlanB (@100trillionUSD) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/100trillionUSD\/status\/36740609?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow\">October 1, 2019<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">But the recent collapse in price has pushed the price of the asset below the stock-to-flow model, albeit only \u201cslightly\u201d according to 100TrillionUSD.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2>Will The Recent Breakdown Prevent Investors From Front-Running BTC Halving?<\/h2>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">With each new halving, the BTC reward miners receive for each successfully validated block is reduced by 50%. The idea is that this occurrence significantly throws off the delicate balance of Bitcoin\u2019s supply and market demand, causing the price of the crypto asset to go parabolic and set a new all-time high post each halving.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">This time around, the stock-to-flow model was suggesting Bitcoin could reach a price of $55,000 per BTC by the halving \u2013 currently set for May 2020. Reaching $55,000 from the current price of $8,250 the asset&#8217;s currently trading at would represent an over 560% increase.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><em><strong>Related Reading | <a href=\"https:\/\/wncen.com\/2019\/08\/11\/crypto-analyst-bitcoin-price-could-be-trapped-in-tight-range-until-halving\/\">Crypto Analyst: Bitcoin Price Could Be Trapped in Tight Range Until Halving<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>Because <a href=\"\/tag\/bitcoin\" rel=\"nofollow\">Bitcoin<\/a> has risen so sharply after each hard-coded halving, most analysts were expecting investors to &#8220;front-run&#8221; the halving by loading their bags up with BTC in anticipation of the demand outweighing supply and causing a massive price increase. However, with Bitcoin price now falling, any chance of the halving being front-run could be in jeopardy.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin is a volatile asset, and often rises and falls as much as 20% in a single day. While the recent breakdown from the multi-month triangle Bitcoin was trading within may result in a few months of downtrend, Bitcoin reaching $55,000 or the halving being front-run is definitely not out of the question.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The recent price action in Bitcoin markets has brought the price of the first-ever crypto-asset below the popular stock-to-flow model popularized by crypto analyst 100TrillionUSD. With only seven months to go until Bitcoin\u2019s halving, and with the asset\u2019s prices falling instead of rising, could any chance of the halving being front run by investors be gone? Or does the stock-to-flow model suggest that Bitcoin will soon bounce and return on its trajectory towards a new all-time high around the halving? Bitcoin Falls Below Oft-Cited Stock-to-Flow Model Bitcoin is a disruptive, new financial asset that has attributes unlike anything before it. It\u2019s an emerging technology and an asset that\u2019s hard-capped by mathematics and computer code, giving it a scarcity that\u2019s similar to gold and not much else. Related Reading | CNBC Host Pushes Crypto, Cites Halving and Scarcity As Catalyst for $55K BTC\u00a0 Because of its unique attributes, projecting Bitcoin\u2019s value can be difficult. However, crypto analyst 100TrillionUSD has created the Bitcoin stock-to-flow model, designed to as accurately as possible predict what the asset\u2019s price may be depending on its current supply. The model is so widely regarded and respected, it&#8217;s even been cited on CNBC\u2019s Squawk Box by host Joe Kernen to other notable figures in the financial sector. #bitcoin halving .. 7 months to go \ud83d\ude80 Btc slightly below stock to flow model. I guess no front-running the halving (yet)! pic.twitter.com\/IfRamOJM7X &mdash; PlanB (@100trillionUSD) October 1, 2019 But the recent collapse in price has pushed the price of the asset below the stock-to-flow model, albeit only \u201cslightly\u201d according to 100TrillionUSD. Will The Recent Breakdown Prevent Investors From Front-Running BTC Halving? With each new halving, the BTC reward miners receive for each successfully validated block is reduced by 50%. The idea is that this occurrence significantly throws off the delicate balance of Bitcoin\u2019s supply and market demand, causing the price of the crypto asset to go parabolic and set a new all-time high post each halving. This time around, the stock-to-flow model was suggesting Bitcoin could reach a price of $55,000 per BTC by the halving \u2013 currently set for May 2020. Reaching $55,000 from the current price of $8,250 the asset&#8217;s currently trading at would represent an over 560% increase. Related Reading | Crypto Analyst: Bitcoin Price Could Be Trapped in Tight Range Until Halving Because Bitcoin has risen so sharply after each hard-coded halving, most analysts were expecting investors to &#8220;front-run&#8221; the halving by loading their bags up with BTC in anticipation of the demand outweighing supply and causing a massive price increase. However, with Bitcoin price now falling, any chance of the halving being front-run could be in jeopardy. Bitcoin is a volatile asset, and often rises and falls as much as 20% in a single day. While the recent breakdown from the multi-month triangle Bitcoin was trading within may result in a few months of downtrend, Bitcoin reaching $55,000 or the halving being front-run is definitely not out of the question.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":517,"featured_media":400226,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5651,3],"tags":[43545,428,6664,8080,28113],"class_list":["post-400224","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-news","tag-100trillionusd","tag-bitcoin","tag-crypto","tag-halving","tag-plan-b"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n<title>Bitcoin Falls Below Stock-to-Flow Model, Will The Halving Be Front Run By Bulls?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The recent price action in Bitcoin markets has brought the price of the first-ever crypto-asset below the popular stock-to-flow model popularized by\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/wncen.com\/news\/bitcoin-falls-below-stock-to-flow-model-will-the-halving-be-front-run-by-bulls\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin Falls Below Stock-to-Flow Model, Will The Halving Be Front Run By Bulls?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The recent price action in Bitcoin markets has brought the price of the first-ever crypto-asset below the popular stock-to-flow model popularized by\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/wncen.com\/news\/bitcoin-falls-below-stock-to-flow-model-will-the-halving-be-front-run-by-bulls\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"NewsBTC\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/newsbtc\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2019-10-01T19:00:31+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2019-10-01T18:49:40+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/bitcoin-stock-to-flow-halving-shutterstock_1165893526.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"6000\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"4000\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Tony &quot;El Toro&quot; 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As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market. A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony\u2019s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements. Beyond his role at NewsBTC, Tony is the visionary founder of CoinChartist.io, an educational platform aimed at demystifying the nuances of cryptocurrency trading. CoinChartist.io serves as a valuable resource for traders seeking to enhance their technical analysis skills. The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions. In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony\u2019s expertise to guide their trading strategies. Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies. Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders. His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics. Tony\u2019s nickname, \\\"The Bull,\\\" aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice. In summary, Tony \\\"The Bull\\\" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. 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