{"id":410508,"date":"2020-01-10T19:30:33","date_gmt":"2020-01-10T19:30:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/?p=410508"},"modified":"2020-01-10T19:39:00","modified_gmt":"2020-01-10T19:39:00","slug":"bitcoin-is-fearfully-following-former-bear-market-fractal-new-lows-possible","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/news\/bitcoin-is-fearfully-following-former-bear-market-fractal-new-lows-possible\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Is Fearfully Following Former Bear Market Fractal, New Lows Possible"},"content":{"rendered":"

The cryptocurrency community was expecting Bitcoin<\/a> to be off to the races working toward setting its next new all-time high once the first-ever cryptocurrency \u201cbottomed\u201d in late 2018, however, the recent downtrend has them thinking again.<\/span><\/p>\n

According to a comparison between the current bear market and the 2014-2015 bear market, Bitcoin has clearly been following a similar trajectory, albeit on a different timescale. If the leading cryptocurrency by market cap continues to follow the same path, $3,000 wasn\u2019t the actual bottom, and new lows may be in the months ahead.<\/span><\/p>\n

Has Bitcoin Really Bottomed Or Will We See a Repeat of the 2014-2015 Bear Market?<\/h2>\n

Bitcoin<\/a> is only eleven years young, and it\u2019s had very little history in which to draw potential comparisons. The idea is that markets are cyclical, history repeats, and emotions are similar, so both rallies and even corrections can oftentimes take a similar shape.<\/span><\/p>\n

But with Bitcoin, it only has had a few, small periods of drawdown, that often quickly reverse and the subsequent rally more than makes up for any lost ground.<\/span><\/p>\n

Related Reading | Psychology of a Market Cycle: Are Bitcoin Investors In Denial?\u00a0<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Because there are so few comparisons to draw against, the best comparison against the current bear market is the 2014 to 2015 bear market. The bear market formed after Bitcoin<\/a> topped out in late 2013 at over $1,000, then dropped all the way back to around $150 at the low.<\/span><\/p>\n

Before Bitcoin reached $150, though, it had a short-lived rally from roughly $350 to $665 before the downtrend really picked up in severity.<\/span><\/p>\n

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I don't insist.
Moreover, I think it is very unlikely to happen.
But don't deny that there is a resemblance.
Even the time scale is expanded, just as it is expected for the increased capitalization.
$BTC<\/a> $BTCUSD<\/a> #bitcoin<\/a> pic.twitter.com\/r1FqoQ1zLQ<\/a><\/p>\n

— CryptoHamster (@CryptoHamsterIO) January 10, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n