{"id":465889,"date":"2021-06-18T22:00:56","date_gmt":"2021-06-18T22:00:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/?p=465889"},"modified":"2024-06-11T13:56:29","modified_gmt":"2024-06-11T13:56:29","slug":"bitcoin-missing-ingredient-reversal","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/news\/bitcoin-missing-ingredient-reversal\/","title":{"rendered":"The Missing Ingredient From A Full On Bitcoin Reversal"},"content":{"rendered":"
Bitcoin price is back around $35,000<\/a> and has failed to retake $40,000 despite several low timeframe reversal signals building.<\/p>\n When looking back at past breakdowns following significant rallies, there could be a missing ingredient needed for a full on reversal, and it could have to do with the Bollinger Bands.<\/p>\n The Bollinger Bands are named after the tool’s creator, John Bollinger<\/a>. The tool has a variety of use cases as it applies to technical analysis, but is most notably used for measuring volatility. When the two outer bands \u2013 standard deviations of a simple moving average \u2013 begin to contract and tighten, it signals a massive release of energy is coming soon enough.<\/p>\n Related Reading | Could The Golden Ratio Provide Clues To The Bitcoin Bottom?<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n When the outer bands do expand, they also act as support or resistance, and the middle-SMA does the same. The middle-SMA can also be used reliably as a buy or sell signal when price action closes through it.<\/p>\n But it is that support and resistance that the outer bands often supply that might be crucial to forming a proper Bitcoin bottom<\/a> and one that holds for new highs.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n In the chart above, a touch of the upper band after “riding the bands” to new local highs has always resulted in a short-term top. Crossing through the middle-SMA from there switches from bull to bear market, and the downtrend doesn’t end until the bottom Bollinger Band<\/a> it tapped.<\/p>\n The 2017 bull market peak resulted in a sharp selloff, but then price action hung around the middle band for nearly a year before the deep plunge<\/a> in late November 2018. From there, Bitcoin “rode the bands” again but this time on the way down.<\/p>\n Related Reading | How Extreme Fear In Crypto Correlates With Bitcoin Bottoms<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n When the middle-SMA was finally reclaimed, the top cryptocurrency shot right back to $14,000 and hit the upper band once again. Losing the middle-SMA once again started a bearish phase. A bull run likely would have blossomed sooner but COVID had other plans, and after Black Thursday<\/a> instead the buy signal stuck.<\/p>\nAll About The Bollinger Bands And How To Use Them Effectively<\/h2>\n
Bitcoin price action might require a touch of the lower BB as it has during past bear phases | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com<\/a><\/pre>\n
Why Bitcoin Price Action Might Need The Momentum Of The Lower Band<\/h2>\n