{"id":500767,"date":"2022-09-01T17:16:54","date_gmt":"2022-09-01T17:16:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/?p=500767"},"modified":"2024-06-11T11:44:13","modified_gmt":"2024-06-11T11:44:13","slug":"bitcoin-september-btcusd-good-bad-ugly","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/news\/bitcoin-september-btcusd-good-bad-ugly\/","title":{"rendered":"WATCH: Bitcoin September To Remember: The Good, The Bad, & The Ugly | BTCUSD September 1, 2022"},"content":{"rendered":"
In this episode of NewsBTC’s daily technical analysis videos, we are looking again at the Bitcoin BTCUSD<\/a> monthly chart now that the August monthly candle has closed and we finally have new data to analyze.<\/p>\n Take a look at the video below for the good, the bad, and the ugly.<\/p>\n In\u00a0yesterday’s video<\/a>, we focused on the nail-biter of a monthly close we had last night, where bulls were just barely able to hold onto support. With a new monthly candle open, today’s video attempts to see where the crypto market is headed, if the bottom is in, or if we’ll see an extended accumulation phase.<\/p>\n Bitcoin managed to close above former all-time high resistance turned support. This is the good news of the analysis, as you could imagine. The bad news is that Bitcoin has lost what in the past has been referred to as the Coinbase line.<\/span><\/p>\n Trend lines<\/a> are subjective to a point and there is a chance that a longer-term trend line still held on by a hair.<\/span><\/p>\n <\/p>\n One hopeful note is that the monthly stayed within the lower Bollinger Band<\/a>. Closing outside it could have led to an extended downmove \u2013 much like past uptrends continue to ride the upper band after a strong breakout.<\/span><\/p>\n The Ichimoku<\/a> monthly is also gives bulls more hope, or is simply a delayed look at the inevitable. The tenkan-sen is still above the kijun-sen, and the kijun-sen has started to move upward.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n However, the lines have typically crossed on the monthly before Bitcoin has bottomed, which could suggest the bottom isn\u2019t it. Cloud twists are also especially notable and have in the past indicated a trend change. We won\u2019t see a cloud twist until November 2022 the earliest, suggesting that Bitcoin could spend more time trending down or sideways before we see a greater recovery.<\/span><\/p>\n <\/p>\n The monthly Fisher Transform<\/a> has yet to flip bullish. The tool is helpful for finding precise turning points in market cycles. The tool continues to descend toward an upward sloping trend line that is yet another signal that Bitcoin have a lengthy bottom like the 2014 and 2015 bear market.<\/span><\/p>\n The monthly Relative Strength Index<\/a> is at the lower boundary of an ongoing downtrend channel. The 2018 bear market bottom barely touched the bottom boundary, while the 2014 and 2015 bear market spent time grinding along it. This monthly close gave us our second touch of the line and could suggest similar behavior to Bitcoin\u2019s first bear market.<\/span><\/p>\n Another potentially positive sign is that LMACD has reached a possible upward trend line that could provide support for where momentum begins to turn back upward. The month of September and each month moving forward must turn pink on the histogram to indicate weakening bearish momentum, and the bull trend would be confirmed with the histogram crossing the zero line and turning green.<\/span><\/p>\n <\/p>\n Even the monthly chart using Bitcoin fundamental tools<\/a> is looking rather ugly. On monthly timeframes, the hash ribbons<\/a> have yet to properly issue a buy signal despite the signal triggering on the daily. Bitcoin is also above the lowest point of the cost of production \u2013 a metric that analyzes the cost miners incur to produce each BTC on average.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n The 2018 bear market closed a monthly candle below the lowest point of the average. It is worth noting that although there was this key close below it during the last crypto winter, the swing low was already in when it happened. This could suggest that Bitcoin will trade sideways and accumulate at such prices a while longer, but $17,500 could ultimately hold up as the bottom.<\/span><\/p>\n <\/p>\n Learn crypto technical analysis yourself with the NewsBTC Trading Course. Click here<\/a> to access the free educational program.<\/p>\n Follow <\/i><\/b>@TonySpilotroBTC on Twitter<\/i><\/b><\/a> or join\u00a0<\/i><\/b>the TonyTradesBTC Telegram<\/i><\/b><\/a> for exclusive daily market insights and technical analysis education<\/i><\/b>. Please note: Content is\u00a0educational and should not be\u00a0considered investment advice.<\/i><\/b><\/p>\n In this episode of NewsBTC’s daily technical analysis videos, we are looking again at the Bitcoin BTCUSD monthly chart now that the August monthly candle has closed and we finally have new data to analyze. Take a look at the video below for the good, the bad, and the ugly. VIDEO: Bitcoin Price Analysis (BTCUSD):\u00a0September 1, 2022 In\u00a0yesterday’s video, we focused on the nail-biter of a monthly close we had last night, where bulls were just barely able to hold onto support. With a new monthly candle open, today’s video attempts to see where the crypto market is headed, if the bottom is in, or if we’ll see an extended accumulation phase. Related Reading: WATCH: Waiting On The Bitcoin Monthly: Will Crypto Sink Or Soar? BTCUSD August 31, 2022 August Aftermath: How Did The Bitcoin Monthly Candle Close? Bitcoin managed to close above former all-time high resistance turned support. This is the good news of the analysis, as you could imagine. The bad news is that Bitcoin has lost what in the past has been referred to as the Coinbase line. Trend lines are subjective to a point and there is a chance that a longer-term trend line still held on by a hair. There are several trend lines to watch currently | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com Technical Update With Bollinger Bands, Ichimoku, And More One hopeful note is that the monthly stayed within the lower Bollinger Band. Closing outside it could have led to an extended downmove \u2013 much like past uptrends continue to ride the upper band after a strong breakout. The Ichimoku monthly is also gives bulls more hope, or is simply a delayed look at the inevitable. The tenkan-sen is still above the kijun-sen, and the kijun-sen has started to move upward.\u00a0 However, the lines have typically crossed on the monthly before Bitcoin has bottomed, which could suggest the bottom isn\u2019t it. Cloud twists are also especially notable and have in the past indicated a trend change. We won\u2019t see a cloud twist until November 2022 the earliest, suggesting that Bitcoin could spend more time trending down or sideways before we see a greater recovery. We might not have found a bottom just yet | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com Timing A Possible Turning Point In Crypto Winter The monthly Fisher Transform has yet to flip bullish. The tool is helpful for finding precise turning points in market cycles. The tool continues to descend toward an upward sloping trend line that is yet another signal that Bitcoin have a lengthy bottom like the 2014 and 2015 bear market. The monthly Relative Strength Index is at the lower boundary of an ongoing downtrend channel. The 2018 bear market bottom barely touched the bottom boundary, while the 2014 and 2015 bear market spent time grinding along it. This monthly close gave us our second touch of the line and could suggest similar behavior to Bitcoin\u2019s first bear market. Another potentially positive sign is that LMACD has reached a possible upward trend line that could provide support for where momentum begins to turn back upward. The month of September and each month moving forward must turn pink on the histogram to indicate weakening bearish momentum, and the bull trend would be confirmed with the histogram crossing the zero line and turning green. We also take a closer look at this cyclical behavior in Bitcoin | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com Fundamental Case: Is It Crazy To Buy Bitcoin Here? Even the monthly chart using Bitcoin fundamental tools is looking rather ugly. On monthly timeframes, the hash ribbons have yet to properly issue a buy signal despite the signal triggering on the daily. Bitcoin is also above the lowest point of the cost of production \u2013 a metric that analyzes the cost miners incur to produce each BTC on average.\u00a0 The 2018 bear market closed a monthly candle below the lowest point of the average. It is worth noting that although there was this key close below it during the last crypto winter, the swing low was already in when it happened. This could suggest that Bitcoin will trade sideways and accumulate at such prices a while longer, but $17,500 could ultimately hold up as the bottom. We also take a closer look at this cyclical behavior in Bitcoin | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com Learn crypto technical analysis yourself with the NewsBTC Trading Course. Click here to access the free educational program. Follow @TonySpilotroBTC on Twitter or join\u00a0the TonyTradesBTC Telegram for exclusive daily market insights and technical analysis education. Please note: Content is\u00a0educational and should not be\u00a0considered investment advice. Featured image from iStockPhoto, Charts from TradingView.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":517,"featured_media":500807,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[428,1119,1144,78790,6664,4524,76835],"class_list":["post-500767","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-btcusd","tag-btcusdt","tag-crypto","tag-xbt","tag-xbtusd"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nVIDEO: Bitcoin Price Analysis (BTCUSD):\u00a0September 1, 2022<\/h2>\n
August Aftermath: How Did The Bitcoin Monthly Candle Close?<\/h3>\n
There are several trend lines to watch currently | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com<\/a><\/pre>\n
Technical Update With Bollinger Bands, Ichimoku, And More<\/h3>\n
We might not have found a bottom just yet | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com<\/a><\/pre>\n
Timing A Possible Turning Point In Crypto Winter<\/h3>\n
We also take a closer look at this cyclical behavior in Bitcoin | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com<\/a><\/pre>\n
Fundamental Case: Is It Crazy To Buy Bitcoin Here?<\/h3>\n
We also take a closer look at this cyclical behavior in Bitcoin | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com<\/a><\/pre>\n
Featured image from iStockPhoto, Charts from TradingView.com<\/pre>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"