{"id":512987,"date":"2022-12-19T15:22:26","date_gmt":"2022-12-19T20:22:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/?p=512987"},"modified":"2024-06-11T11:57:23","modified_gmt":"2024-06-11T11:57:23","slug":"bitcoin-bear-market-momentum-record","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/news\/bitcoin-bear-market-momentum-record\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Bear Market Monthly Momentum Reaches Worst On Record"},"content":{"rendered":"

For many Bitcoin<\/a> investors who lived it, this crypto winter feels more painful than the 2018 bear market, despite making a shallower fall from peak to through. From a monthly momentum perspective, the bearish trend is now the strongest on record. Let’s take a look at what this means and where the market is at by comparison.<\/p>\n

Log MACD Points To Worst Crypto Winter In History<\/h2>\n

As a speculative asset class, cryptocurrencies are volatile \u2013 wildly driven by speculation and polar opposite ends of greed and fear. There is no denying the current market is some of the most fearful since Bitcoin’s inception. It was born in wake of the 2008 financial crisis and the top cryptocurrency is now facing its first potential recession.<\/p>\n

Related Reading: Bitcoin Volatility Explodes Around $18K Level, As Fed Reveals 50 Basis Point Rate Increase<\/a><\/div>\n

Previous monetary policy allowed the asset class to flourish and grow, while the current policy has caused prices to contract significantly in short order. The result, is quite possibly the worst bear market in Bitcoin’s history, according to the LMACD.<\/p>\n

\"BTCUSD_2022-12-19_14-43-19\"<\/p>\n

Monthly bearish momentum is the strongest ever | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com<\/a><\/pre>\n
LMACD is the logarithmic version of the Moving Average Convergence Divergence<\/a> indicator. The original tool was created by Gerald Appel in the late 1970s, while this version is best used to compare historical momentum.<\/p>\n
When viewing the monthly LMACD for BTCUSD, the dashed zero line shows that in 2018, Bitcoin never even made it into bear territory. During this bear market, the MACD line in blue is also at the lowest point ever historically. The signal line in orange has never moved below the zero line, and could very well do so in this cycle.<\/p>\n
Has The Bitcoin Bull Trend Officially Ended?<\/h2>\n
According to the Average Directional Index<\/a> and each Direction Movement Indicator, bears are stronger than ever before, and have had the upper hand in crypto for the longest stretch ever.<\/p>\n
Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Prediction: What Elliott Wave Theory Suggests Is Next For BTC<\/a><\/div>\n
Falling below a reading of 20 suggests the end of a trend, potentially indicating that the trend that started in 2015 is only now truly concluding. Rising back above a reading of 20 after falling below it, should help confirm a new bullish trend.<\/p>\n
\"BTCUSD_2022-12-19_14-53-08\"<\/p>\n
The bull trend has ended, but will a new one begin? | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com<\/a><\/pre>\n
Although the ADX shows the bull trend never quite concluded in 2018, the weaker trend strength overall explains why the returns stemming from the 2018 bottom, weren’t anywhere near the same as the rally from the 2015 bottom, which had significant strength at its back.<\/p>\n
With the bullish trend fizzling out, when bulls regain control and a new trend blossoms, it could be far more sustainable than what we have witnessed the last several years in crypto.<\/p>\n
Follow @TonySpilotroBTC on Twitter<\/a> or join\u00a0the TonyTradesBTC Telegram<\/a> for exclusive daily market insights and technical analysis education. Please note: Content is\u00a0educational and should not be\u00a0considered investment advice. Featured image from iStockPhoto, Charts from TradingView.com<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
For many Bitcoin investors who lived it, this crypto winter feels more painful than the 2018 bear market, despite making a shallower fall from peak to through. From a monthly momentum perspective, the bearish trend is now the strongest on record. Let’s take a look at what this means and where the market is at by comparison. Log MACD Points To Worst Crypto Winter In History As a speculative asset class, cryptocurrencies are volatile \u2013 wildly driven by speculation and polar opposite ends of greed and fear. There is no denying the current market is some of the most fearful since Bitcoin’s inception. It was born in wake of the 2008 financial crisis and the top cryptocurrency is now facing its first potential recession. Related Reading: Bitcoin Volatility Explodes Around $18K Level, As Fed Reveals 50 Basis Point Rate Increase Previous monetary policy allowed the asset class to flourish and grow, while the current policy has caused prices to contract significantly in short order. The result, is quite possibly the worst bear market in Bitcoin’s history, according to the LMACD. Monthly bearish momentum is the strongest ever | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com LMACD is the logarithmic version of the Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator. The original tool was created by Gerald Appel in the late 1970s, while this version is best used to compare historical momentum. When viewing the monthly LMACD for BTCUSD, the dashed zero line shows that in 2018, Bitcoin never even made it into bear territory. During this bear market, the MACD line in blue is also at the lowest point ever historically. The signal line in orange has never moved below the zero line, and could very well do so in this cycle. Has The Bitcoin Bull Trend Officially Ended? According to the Average Directional Index and each Direction Movement Indicator, bears are stronger than ever before, and have had the upper hand in crypto for the longest stretch ever. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Prediction: What Elliott Wave Theory Suggests Is Next For BTC Falling below a reading of 20 suggests the end of a trend, potentially indicating that the trend that started in 2015 is only now truly concluding. Rising back above a reading of 20 after falling below it, should help confirm a new bullish trend. The bull trend has ended, but will a new one begin? | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com Although the ADX shows the bull trend never quite concluded in 2018, the weaker trend strength overall explains why the returns stemming from the 2018 bottom, weren’t anywhere near the same as the rally from the 2015 bottom, which had significant strength at its back. With the bullish trend fizzling out, when bulls regain control and a new trend blossoms, it could be far more sustainable than what we have witnessed the last several years in crypto. Follow @TonySpilotroBTC on Twitter or join\u00a0the TonyTradesBTC Telegram for exclusive daily market insights and technical analysis education. Please note: Content is\u00a0educational and should not be\u00a0considered investment advice. Featured image from iStockPhoto, Charts from TradingView.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":517,"featured_media":512990,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[428,1119,1144],"class_list":["post-512987","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-btcusd"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin Bear Market Monthly Momentum Reaches Worst On Record<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"For many Bitcoin investors who lived it, this crypto winter feels more painful than the 2018 bear market, despite making a shallower fall from peak to\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders. His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics. Tony\u2019s nickname, \"The Bull,\" aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice. In summary, Tony \"The Bull\" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.","sameAs":["https:\/\/coinchartist.io\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/coinchartist_io\/","https:\/\/x.com\/https:\/\/twitter.com\/tonythebullBTC","https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@coinchartist_io"],"url":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/author\/tonymspilotro\/"}]}},"parsely":{"version":"1.1.0","meta":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@type":"NewsArticle","headline":"Bitcoin Bear Market Monthly Momentum Reaches Worst On Record","url":"http:\/\/wncen.com\/news\/bitcoin-bear-market-momentum-record\/","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"http:\/\/wncen.com\/news\/bitcoin-bear-market-momentum-record\/"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/iStock-1338758941.jpg?resize=200%2C200","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/iStock-1338758941.jpg?fit=1237%2C847"},"articleSection":"Cryptocurrency Market News","author":[{"@type":"Person","name":"Tony \"El Toro\" Severino"}],"creator":["Tony \"El Toro\" Severino"],"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"NewsBTC","logo":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/cropped-cropped-cropped-favicon.png?w=32"},"keywords":["bitcoin","btc","btcusd"],"dateCreated":"2022-12-19T20:22:26Z","datePublished":"2022-12-19T20:22:26Z","dateModified":"2024-06-11T11:57:23Z"},"rendered":"<script type=\"application\/ld+json\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"headline\":\"Bitcoin Bear Market Monthly Momentum Reaches Worst On Record\",\"url\":\"http:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/news\\\/bitcoin-bear-market-momentum-record\\\/\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"http:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/news\\\/bitcoin-bear-market-momentum-record\\\/\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2022\\\/12\\\/iStock-1338758941.jpg?resize=200%2C200\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2022\\\/12\\\/iStock-1338758941.jpg?fit=1237%2C847\"},\"articleSection\":\"Cryptocurrency Market News\",\"author\":[{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Tony \\\"El Toro\\\" Severino\"}],\"creator\":[\"Tony \\\"El Toro\\\" Severino\"],\"publisher\":{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"name\":\"NewsBTC\",\"logo\":\"https:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2020\\\/06\\\/cropped-cropped-cropped-favicon.png?w=32\"},\"keywords\":[\"bitcoin\",\"btc\",\"btcusd\"],\"dateCreated\":\"2022-12-19T20:22:26Z\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-12-19T20:22:26Z\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-06-11T11:57:23Z\"}<\/script>","tracker_url":"https:\/\/cdn.parsely.com\/keys\/wncen.com\/p.js"},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/iStock-1338758941.jpg?fit=1237%2C847","amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/512987"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/517"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=512987"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/512987\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/512990"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=512987"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=512987"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=512987"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}