{"id":523631,"date":"2023-03-17T23:30:00","date_gmt":"2023-03-17T23:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/?p=523631"},"modified":"2024-06-11T06:50:56","modified_gmt":"2024-06-11T06:50:56","slug":"bitcoin-bullish-signal-nupl-forming-golden-cross","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/news\/bitcoin-bullish-signal-nupl-forming-golden-cross\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Bullish Signal: NUPL Is Forming A Golden Cross"},"content":{"rendered":"

On-chain data shows the Bitcoin Net Unrealized Profit and Loss (NUPL) is forming a golden cross, a sign that could be bullish for the price.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin NUPL 60-Day MA Has Crossed Above 365-Day MA<\/h2>\n

An analyst in a CryptoQuant post<\/a> pointed out that this crossover pattern has been repeated multiple times since 2013. The “Net Unrealized Profit and Loss<\/a>” (NUPL) is an indicator that tells us about the amount of unrealized profit or loss that Bitcoin investors are currently holding.<\/p>\n

By “unrealized,” what’s meant here is that holders have yet to sell\/transfer their coins to harvest the profit or loss they have accumulated. If the investors were to sell these coins, the same amount of profit\/loss they were carrying would become “realized.”<\/p>\n

The NUPL calculates this unrealized profit\/loss by subtracting the realized cap<\/a> (a capitalization model for BTC that accounts for the price at which each coin on the chain was bought) from the market cap. The metric then simplifies this value by dividing it by the market cap.<\/p>\n

When the metric has a positive value, the average investor holds an unrealized profit, while negative values suggest unrealized losses dominate the market. Naturally, the indicator having a value equal to zero implies the holders are just breaking even currently.<\/p>\n

Related Reading: Bitcoin Binary CDD Approaches Breakout That Historically Kicked Off Bull Rallies<\/a><\/div>\n

Here is a chart showing the trend in two moving averages (MAs) of the Bitcoin NUPL: the 60-day and 365-day versions.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin<\/p>\n

Looks like these two metrics have crossed each other in recent days | Source: CryptoQuant<\/a><\/pre>\n
BTC has observed strong bullish momentum whenever the 60-day MA crosses over the 365-day MA. There have been some exceptions, however. In the above graph, the quant has marked the relevant points of the trend for the 60-day and 365-day MAs of the Bitcoin NUPL.<\/p>\n
The graph shows that the last time this kind of crossover took place was in late 2021 when the bull run<\/a> of this cycle was at its top. But not too long after, the opposite type canceled this golden crossover, and BTC only saw a bearish effect.<\/p>\n
Recently, the MAs of the Bitcoin NUPL have once again started to form the bullish crossover formation. This time, at least so far, the breakout looks like a proper one as the 60-day has sharply surged above the 365-day already, unlike the previous instance, where the former never gained too much height above the latter before curling back in and forming the opposite crossover.<\/p>\n
Related Reading: Here’s When Messari CEO Ryan Selkis Expects Bitcoin To Reach $100,000<\/a><\/div>\n
If the latest golden cross indeed ends up being the real thing, then BTC may be gearing up for a strong bull rally if the historical pattern is anything to go by.<\/p>\n
BTC Price<\/h2>\n
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $26,600, up 34% in the last week.<\/p>\n
\"Bitcoin<\/p>\n
BTC seems to have surged recently | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView<\/a><\/pre>\n
Featured image from Dylan Leagh on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
On-chain data shows the Bitcoin Net Unrealized Profit and Loss (NUPL) is forming a golden cross, a sign that could be bullish for the price. Bitcoin NUPL 60-Day MA Has Crossed Above 365-Day MA An analyst in a CryptoQuant post pointed out that this crossover pattern has been repeated multiple times since 2013. The “Net Unrealized Profit and Loss” (NUPL) is an indicator that tells us about the amount of unrealized profit or loss that Bitcoin investors are currently holding. By “unrealized,” what’s meant here is that holders have yet to sell\/transfer their coins to harvest the profit or loss they have accumulated. If the investors were to sell these coins, the same amount of profit\/loss they were carrying would become “realized.” The NUPL calculates this unrealized profit\/loss by subtracting the realized cap (a capitalization model for BTC that accounts for the price at which each coin on the chain was bought) from the market cap. The metric then simplifies this value by dividing it by the market cap. When the metric has a positive value, the average investor holds an unrealized profit, while negative values suggest unrealized losses dominate the market. Naturally, the indicator having a value equal to zero implies the holders are just breaking even currently. Related Reading: Bitcoin Binary CDD Approaches Breakout That Historically Kicked Off Bull Rallies Here is a chart showing the trend in two moving averages (MAs) of the Bitcoin NUPL: the 60-day and 365-day versions. Looks like these two metrics have crossed each other in recent days | Source: CryptoQuant BTC has observed strong bullish momentum whenever the 60-day MA crosses over the 365-day MA. There have been some exceptions, however. In the above graph, the quant has marked the relevant points of the trend for the 60-day and 365-day MAs of the Bitcoin NUPL. The graph shows that the last time this kind of crossover took place was in late 2021 when the bull run of this cycle was at its top. But not too long after, the opposite type canceled this golden crossover, and BTC only saw a bearish effect. Recently, the MAs of the Bitcoin NUPL have once again started to form the bullish crossover formation. This time, at least so far, the breakout looks like a proper one as the 60-day has sharply surged above the 365-day already, unlike the previous instance, where the former never gained too much height above the latter before curling back in and forming the opposite crossover. Related Reading: Here’s When Messari CEO Ryan Selkis Expects Bitcoin To Reach $100,000 If the latest golden cross indeed ends up being the real thing, then BTC may be gearing up for a strong bull rally if the historical pattern is anything to go by. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $26,600, up 34% in the last week. BTC seems to have surged recently | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView Featured image from Dylan Leagh on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":542,"featured_media":523639,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[428,85693,84286,84916,1119,1144],"class_list":["post-523631","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-bullish-signal","tag-bitcoin-golden-cross","tag-bitcoin-nupl","tag-btc","tag-btcusd"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin Bullish Signal: NUPL Is Forming A Golden Cross<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"On-chain data shows the Bitcoin Net Unrealized Profit and Loss (NUPL) is forming a golden cross, a sign that could be bullish for the price.\" \/>\n<meta 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Keshav has been writing for many years, first as a hobbyist and later as a freelancer. He has experience working in a variety of niches, even fiction at one point, but the cryptocurrency industry has been the longest he has been attached to. In terms of official educational qualifications, Keshav holds a bachelor\u2019s degree in Physics from one of the premier institutes of India, the University of Delhi (DU). He started the degree with an aim of eventually making a career in Physics, but the onset of COVID led to a shift in plans. The virus meant that the college classes had to be delivered in the online-mode and with it came free time for him to explore other passions. Initially only seeking to make some beer money, Keshav unexpectedly landed clients offering real projects, after which there was no looking back. Writing was something he had always enjoyed and to be able to do it for a living was like a dream come true. Keshav completed his Physics degree in 2022 and has been focusing on his writing career since, but that doesn\u2019t mean his passion for Physics has ended. He eventually plans to re-enter university to obtain a masters degree in the same field, but perhaps only to satiate his own interest rather than for using it as a means to find employment.. Keshav has found blockchain and its concepts fascinating ever since he started going down the rabbit-hole back in 2020. On-chain analysis in particular has been something he likes to research more about, which is why his NewsBTC pieces tend to involve it in some form. Being of the science background, Keshav likes if concepts are clear and consistent, so he generally explains the indicators he talks about in a bit of detail so that the readers can perhaps come out having understood and learnt something new. As for hobbies, Keshav is super into football, anime, and videogames. He enjoys football not only as a watcher, but also as a player. For games, Keshav generally tends towards enjoying singleplayer adventures, with EA FC (formerly FIFA) being the only online game he is active in. Though, perhaps due to being ultra-focused on the game, he is today a semi-pro on the EA FC scene, regularly participating in tournaments and sometimes even taking back prize money. Because of his enthusiasm for anime and games, he also self-learned Japanese along the way to consume some of the untranslated gems out there. The skill didn\u2019t merely remain as just a hobby, either, as he put it to productive use during his exploration for small-time gigs at the start of COVID, fulfilling a couple of Japanese-to-English translation jobs. Keshav is also big into fitness, with agility and acceleration-related workouts making a big part of his program due to the relevance they have in football. On top of that, he also has a more traditional strength based program for the gym, which he does to maintain an overall fitness level of his body.","sameAs":["https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/keshavverma29\/","https:\/\/x.com\/https:\/\/twitter.com\/keshavvarma29"],"url":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/author\/hououinkyouma29\/"}]}},"parsely":{"version":"1.1.0","meta":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@type":"NewsArticle","headline":"Bitcoin Bullish Signal: NUPL Is Forming A Golden Cross","url":"http:\/\/wncen.com\/news\/bitcoin-bullish-signal-nupl-forming-golden-cross\/","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"http:\/\/wncen.com\/news\/bitcoin-bullish-signal-nupl-forming-golden-cross\/"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/dylan-leagh-qnVXHhUP0xU-unsplash-scaled.jpg?resize=200%2C200","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/dylan-leagh-qnVXHhUP0xU-unsplash-scaled.jpg?fit=2560%2C1707"},"articleSection":"Cryptocurrency Market News","author":[{"@type":"Person","name":"Keshav Verma"}],"creator":["Keshav Verma"],"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"NewsBTC","logo":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/cropped-cropped-cropped-favicon.png?w=32"},"keywords":["bitcoin","bitcoin bullish signal","bitcoin golden cross","bitcoin nupl","btc","btcusd"],"dateCreated":"2023-03-17T23:30:00Z","datePublished":"2023-03-17T23:30:00Z","dateModified":"2024-06-11T06:50:56Z"},"rendered":"<script type=\"application\/ld+json\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"headline\":\"Bitcoin Bullish Signal: NUPL Is Forming A Golden Cross\",\"url\":\"http:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/news\\\/bitcoin-bullish-signal-nupl-forming-golden-cross\\\/\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"http:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/news\\\/bitcoin-bullish-signal-nupl-forming-golden-cross\\\/\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2023\\\/03\\\/dylan-leagh-qnVXHhUP0xU-unsplash-scaled.jpg?resize=200%2C200\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2023\\\/03\\\/dylan-leagh-qnVXHhUP0xU-unsplash-scaled.jpg?fit=2560%2C1707\"},\"articleSection\":\"Cryptocurrency Market News\",\"author\":[{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Keshav Verma\"}],\"creator\":[\"Keshav Verma\"],\"publisher\":{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"name\":\"NewsBTC\",\"logo\":\"https:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2020\\\/06\\\/cropped-cropped-cropped-favicon.png?w=32\"},\"keywords\":[\"bitcoin\",\"bitcoin bullish signal\",\"bitcoin golden cross\",\"bitcoin nupl\",\"btc\",\"btcusd\"],\"dateCreated\":\"2023-03-17T23:30:00Z\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-03-17T23:30:00Z\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-06-11T06:50:56Z\"}<\/script>","tracker_url":"https:\/\/cdn.parsely.com\/keys\/wncen.com\/p.js"},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/dylan-leagh-qnVXHhUP0xU-unsplash-scaled.jpg?fit=2560%2C1707","amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/523631"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/542"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=523631"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/523631\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/523639"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=523631"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=523631"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=523631"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}