{"id":548508,"date":"2023-08-23T07:45:21","date_gmt":"2023-08-23T07:45:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/?p=548508"},"modified":"2024-06-11T08:10:42","modified_gmt":"2024-06-11T08:10:42","slug":"bitcoin-market-analysis-key-price-levels-and-metrics-to-watch","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/news\/bitcoin-market-analysis-key-price-levels-and-metrics-to-watch\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Market Analysis: Key Price Levels And Metrics To Watch"},"content":{"rendered":"

As the Bitcoin market navigates the choppy waters around $26,000, there are several metrics to keep an eye on. After hitting a low of $25,374 yesterday, the bulls have managed to push the price back up, although the market remains in a vulnerable state following last Thursday’s price crash.<\/p>\n

Currently, the Fear and Greed Index for Bitcoin sits at 37, which is indicative of strong fear permeating the market. Typically, such a low level on this index suggests that market participants are apprehensive about the near-term future, often leading to a self-fulfilling prophecy of sorts where the selling pressure increases.<\/p>\n

An In-Depth Look At Bitcoin CVDs & Delta<\/h2>\n

Renowned analyst Skew has highlighted<\/a> the role of Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) in understanding the current market dynamics today. “BTC Aggregate CVDs & Delta reveal limit spot sellers here with shorts pushing for control.” This means that even as traders are looking to buy at market prices (takers), those willing to sell are setting limits, adding a ceiling to any short-term bullish momentum.<\/p>\n

Related Reading: Bitcoin Chicken Game: Why Losing This Level Could Send BTC Back To $20,000<\/a><\/div>\n

The specific price point to note here is $26,100. “This level has acted as a magnet for limit sellers,” Skew notes, “and is backed by the pattern seen in spot CVD versus price so far.” In other words, spot takers are being absorbed by limit sellers at this price, constraining upward movement.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin
Bitcoin Aggregate CVDs | Source: Twitter @52Skew<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Perpetual CVD (Perp CVD) also deserves attention as it “moves lower in line with longs closing out and new shorts coming in.” This suggests that traders are not only covering their long positions but also opening new short positions, in line with the current bearish price action.<\/p>\n

Examining specific exchanges like Binance and Bybit gives further granularity to the analysis. According to Skew, “Longs got rinsed in that sweep below $25,800, thereby marking that level as a key pivot point.” Open Interest (OI) on Binance saw a reduction of 6,000 BTC, and Bybit OI was down by 3,000 BTC – all in long positions that were liquidated.<\/p>\n

Related Reading: Will Bitcoin Show A Repeat Of The March Rebound?<\/a><\/div>\n

The liquidation of longs at these levels presents a clear risk for any bullish scenarios. “Clear risk for longs is below $25,800,” Skew asserts, making it an essential level to watch for traders who are net long.<\/p>\n

MacroCRG, a renowned market analyst, added<\/a> to the analysis that large amount of longs were liquidated again during yesterday’s BTC dip: “More pain for #Bitcoin longs as another $300M+ of open interest was wiped out overnight by a downside sweep. When will it end?”<\/p>\n

However, there could be a silver lining, as Skew puts it: “Likely to see apes rage shorting this soon.” But so far, Bitcoin’s open interest (OI) remains flat after Thursday’s flush. OI currently stands at $10.88 billion (after being above $14 billion).<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin
Bitcoin Open Interest | Source: Coinglass<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

BTC’s OI-weighted funding rate has already turned positive again at +0.0060. If the value turns negative for several days, as it did before the March 2023 rally, it could be a sign that a short squeeze is on the cards. However, after Thursday’s crash, the metric remained in negative territory only for a short time.<\/p>\n

\"BTC
BTC OI-Weighted Funding Rate | Source: Coinglass<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

BTC Short-Term Holders and Velocity<\/h2>\n

On-chain specialist Axel Adler Jr. points<\/a> out that the short-term Bitcoin holders (STH) cohort has decreased their holdings by a significant 400,000 BTC. This mass exodus has put considerable selling pressure on the market, rendering many STHs “underwater” and thereby less likely to engage in bullish behavior.<\/p>\n

Moreover, Adler emphasizes the BTC Velocity metric, stating, “At the beginning of this year, the BTC Velocity metric dropped to its minimum level.” This extremely low velocity indicates not just low volatility, but also a lack of market participant activity – a concerning sign for any imminent bullish turn. Therefore, Adler concludes:<\/p>\n

Taking into account these two factors, as well as the fact that the STH cohort has traditionally been the primary player creating volatility in the BTC market, recovery after this drop will require more time than usual and may take an indefinite period.<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

At press time, BTC traded at $26,114.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin
BTC at crucial support, 1-day chart | Source BTCUSD on TradingView.com<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n
Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView.com<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

As the Bitcoin market navigates the choppy waters around $26,000, there are several metrics to keep an eye on. After hitting a low of $25,374 yesterday, the bulls have managed to push the price back up, although the market remains in a vulnerable state following last Thursday’s price crash. Currently, the Fear and Greed Index for Bitcoin sits at 37, which is indicative of strong fear permeating the market. Typically, such a low level on this index suggests that market participants are apprehensive about the near-term future, often leading to a self-fulfilling prophecy of sorts where the selling pressure increases. An In-Depth Look At Bitcoin CVDs & Delta Renowned analyst Skew has highlighted the role of Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) in understanding the current market dynamics today. “BTC Aggregate CVDs & Delta reveal limit spot sellers here with shorts pushing for control.” This means that even as traders are looking to buy at market prices (takers), those willing to sell are setting limits, adding a ceiling to any short-term bullish momentum. Related Reading: Bitcoin Chicken Game: Why Losing This Level Could Send BTC Back To $20,000 The specific price point to note here is $26,100. “This level has acted as a magnet for limit sellers,” Skew notes, “and is backed by the pattern seen in spot CVD versus price so far.” In other words, spot takers are being absorbed by limit sellers at this price, constraining upward movement. Perpetual CVD (Perp CVD) also deserves attention as it “moves lower in line with longs closing out and new shorts coming in.” This suggests that traders are not only covering their long positions but also opening new short positions, in line with the current bearish price action. Examining specific exchanges like Binance and Bybit gives further granularity to the analysis. According to Skew, “Longs got rinsed in that sweep below $25,800, thereby marking that level as a key pivot point.” Open Interest (OI) on Binance saw a reduction of 6,000 BTC, and Bybit OI was down by 3,000 BTC – all in long positions that were liquidated. Related Reading: Will Bitcoin Show A Repeat Of The March Rebound? The liquidation of longs at these levels presents a clear risk for any bullish scenarios. “Clear risk for longs is below $25,800,” Skew asserts, making it an essential level to watch for traders who are net long. MacroCRG, a renowned market analyst, added to the analysis that large amount of longs were liquidated again during yesterday’s BTC dip: “More pain for #Bitcoin longs as another $300M+ of open interest was wiped out overnight by a downside sweep. When will it end?” However, there could be a silver lining, as Skew puts it: “Likely to see apes rage shorting this soon.” But so far, Bitcoin’s open interest (OI) remains flat after Thursday’s flush. OI currently stands at $10.88 billion (after being above $14 billion). BTC’s OI-weighted funding rate has already turned positive again at +0.0060. If the value turns negative for several days, as it did before the March 2023 rally, it could be a sign that a short squeeze is on the cards. However, after Thursday’s crash, the metric remained in negative territory only for a short time. BTC Short-Term Holders and Velocity On-chain specialist Axel Adler Jr. points out that the short-term Bitcoin holders (STH) cohort has decreased their holdings by a significant 400,000 BTC. This mass exodus has put considerable selling pressure on the market, rendering many STHs “underwater” and thereby less likely to engage in bullish behavior. Moreover, Adler emphasizes the BTC Velocity metric, stating, “At the beginning of this year, the BTC Velocity metric dropped to its minimum level.” This extremely low velocity indicates not just low volatility, but also a lack of market participant activity – a concerning sign for any imminent bullish turn. Therefore, Adler concludes: Taking into account these two factors, as well as the fact that the STH cohort has traditionally been the primary player creating volatility in the BTC market, recovery after this drop will require more time than usual and may take an indefinite period. At press time, BTC traded at $26,114. Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":571,"featured_media":548509,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[428,89191,89190,1119,89189,1144],"class_list":["post-548508","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-cvds","tag-bitcoin-velocity","tag-btc","tag-btc-short-term-holders","tag-btcusd"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin Market Analysis: Key Price Levels And Metrics To Watch<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"As the Bitcoin market navigates the choppy waters around $26,000, there are several metrics to keep an eye on.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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Through his extensive work with wncen.com and Bitcoinist.com, Jake has become a trusted voice in the crypto community, guiding newcomers and seasoned enthusiasts alike towards a deeper understanding of this dynamic field. His mission is simple yet profound: to demystify Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies and make them accessible to everyone. With a professional career in the Bitcoin and crypto scene that began right after graduating with a degree in Information Systems in 2017, Jake has immersed himself in the industry. Jake joined the NewsBTC Group in late 2022. His educational background provides him with the technical prowess and analytical skills necessary to dissect complex topics and present them in an understandable format. Whether you are a casual reader curious about Bitcoin or an investor seeking to navigate the latest market trends, Jake\u2019s insights offer valuable perspectives that bridge the gap between complex technology and everyday usage. Jake is not just a reporter on technological trends; he is a firm believer in the transformative potential of Bitcoin over traditional fiat currencies. To him, the current financial system is on the brink of chaos, propelled by unchecked government actions and flawed Keynesian economic policies. Drawing from the principles of the Austrian school of economics, Jake views Bitcoin not merely as a digital asset but as a crucial step towards rectifying a failing monetary system. His libertarian views reinforce his stance that just as the church was separated from the state, so too should money be freed from governmental control. For Jake, Bitcoin represents more than just an investment; it's a peaceful revolution. He envisions a future where Bitcoin fosters a sustainable and responsible financial framework for generations to come. His advocacy is not about opposition but about evolution, about laying the groundwork for a system that prioritizes transparency and equity over secrecy and inequality. As a journalist, Jake\u2019s articles are crafted with the precision of a scholar and the passion of a true believer. He provides not only news but also thoughtful analysis that connects the dots between daily developments and larger economic theories. His work is a beacon for those lost in the technical jargon often associated with crypto discussions, illuminating the practical implications and benefits of these technologies. In summary, Jake Simmons is not just reporting on a revolution; he wants to be part of it, fully committed to enhancing public understanding and adoption of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. His work is more than just a collection of articles; it\u2019s a resource, a guide, and a companion for anyone ready to explore the potential of this digital frontier. Whether you are taking your first steps into crypto or are a veteran looking to stay on top of the latest trends, Jake\u2019s insights provide clarity and foresight in an often unpredictable industry. Join him on this journey to reshape the world of finance, one post at a time. You can engage with his latest takes on Twitter: @realJakeSimmons.","sameAs":["https:\/\/x.com\/https:\/\/twitter.com\/realJakeSimmons"],"url":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/author\/marcusmisiak\/"}]}},"parsely":{"version":"1.1.0","meta":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@type":"NewsArticle","headline":"Bitcoin Market Analysis: Key Price Levels And Metrics To Watch","url":"http:\/\/wncen.com\/news\/bitcoin-market-analysis-key-price-levels-and-metrics-to-watch\/","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"http:\/\/wncen.com\/news\/bitcoin-market-analysis-key-price-levels-and-metrics-to-watch\/"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/iStock-908625266.jpg?resize=200%2C200","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/iStock-908625266.jpg?fit=2066%2C1451"},"articleSection":"Cryptocurrency Market News","author":[{"@type":"Person","name":"Jake Simmons"}],"creator":["Jake Simmons"],"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"NewsBTC","logo":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/cropped-cropped-cropped-favicon.png?w=32"},"keywords":["bitcoin","bitcoin cvds","bitcoin velocity","btc","btc short-term holders","btcusd"],"dateCreated":"2023-08-23T07:45:21Z","datePublished":"2023-08-23T07:45:21Z","dateModified":"2024-06-11T08:10:42Z"},"rendered":"<script type=\"application\/ld+json\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"headline\":\"Bitcoin Market Analysis: Key Price Levels And Metrics To Watch\",\"url\":\"http:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/news\\\/bitcoin-market-analysis-key-price-levels-and-metrics-to-watch\\\/\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"http:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/news\\\/bitcoin-market-analysis-key-price-levels-and-metrics-to-watch\\\/\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2023\\\/08\\\/iStock-908625266.jpg?resize=200%2C200\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2023\\\/08\\\/iStock-908625266.jpg?fit=2066%2C1451\"},\"articleSection\":\"Cryptocurrency Market News\",\"author\":[{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Jake Simmons\"}],\"creator\":[\"Jake Simmons\"],\"publisher\":{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"name\":\"NewsBTC\",\"logo\":\"https:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2020\\\/06\\\/cropped-cropped-cropped-favicon.png?w=32\"},\"keywords\":[\"bitcoin\",\"bitcoin cvds\",\"bitcoin velocity\",\"btc\",\"btc short-term holders\",\"btcusd\"],\"dateCreated\":\"2023-08-23T07:45:21Z\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-08-23T07:45:21Z\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-06-11T08:10:42Z\"}<\/script>","tracker_url":"https:\/\/cdn.parsely.com\/keys\/wncen.com\/p.js"},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/iStock-908625266.jpg?fit=2066%2C1451","amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/548508"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/571"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=548508"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/548508\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/548509"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=548508"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=548508"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=548508"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}