{"id":550047,"date":"2023-09-05T17:00:04","date_gmt":"2023-09-05T17:00:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/?p=550047"},"modified":"2024-06-11T08:15:22","modified_gmt":"2024-06-11T08:15:22","slug":"heres-what-will-happen-if-bitcoin-can-break-33700","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/news\/heres-what-will-happen-if-bitcoin-can-break-33700\/","title":{"rendered":"Here’s What Will Happen If Bitcoin Can Break $33,700"},"content":{"rendered":"
On-chain data suggests the $33,700 level could be a very significant level to break for Bitcoin if the historical pattern is anything to go by.<\/p>\n
In a new post on X<\/a>, Ali, an analyst, has shared a chart that could shed light on the path that BTC may end up taking. The relevant indicator here is the “realized price<\/a>,” which tells us about the price at which the average investor in the Bitcoin market acquired their coins.<\/p>\n Related Reading: Bitcoin Exchanges See Three Straight Months Of Withdrawals For First Time Ever<\/a><\/p>\n When the spot price of the asset exceeds this line, it means that the holders as a whole are currently carrying a net amount of profit on their coins. On the other hand, BTC being below the level suggests the average investor is underwater right now.<\/p>\n In the context of the current discussion, the cost basis of the entire market isn’t of relevance, but of only a specific segment: the holders who acquired their coins at least six months and at most three years ago.<\/p>\n Here is a chart that shows how the cost basis of these Bitcoin investors has changed over the years:<\/p>\n <\/p>\n The six months to three years old investors are actually a part of the larger “long-term holder<\/a>” (LTH) group. And the LTHs are simply the investors who bought their coins at least six months ago.<\/p>\n In the chart, the analyst has also attached the data for the cost basis of the entire LTH group and it’s visible that this metric currently has a value of about $20,300, meaning that the spot price is currently a decent distance above this line.<\/p>\n The realized price of the six months to three years old holders, however, is above the spot price right now, as it’s valued at about $33,755. Naturally, this means that this segment of the LTHs is currently firmly in the red.<\/p>\n From the graph, it’s also apparent that the Bitcoin price has not touched this level since early 2022, when the bear market<\/a> first kicked off. If the cryptocurrency can surge towards the level and finally make a retest of it, then its fate might change for the better.<\/p>\n This is because, as Ali has pointed out, BTC has observed a significant rally whenever the asset has crossed this mark and these HODLers have gotten back into profits.<\/p>\nLooks like the price is below this line at the moment | Source: @ali_charts on X<\/a><\/pre>\n