{"id":650570,"date":"2024-10-30T03:00:21","date_gmt":"2024-10-30T03:00:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/?p=650570"},"modified":"2024-10-29T14:23:38","modified_gmt":"2024-10-29T14:23:38","slug":"bitcoin-volatility-to-peak-by-november-8-as-trump-trade-intensifies-report","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/bitcoin-news\/bitcoin-volatility-to-peak-by-november-8-as-trump-trade-intensifies-report\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Volatility To Peak By November 8 As \u2018Trump Trade\u2019 Intensifies – Report"},"content":{"rendered":"

According to Bitfinex, Bitcoin (BTC) volatility is set to intensify over the next week. A \u201cpotent mix\u201d of geopolitical and macroeconomic factors has significantly influenced the flagship crypto’s performance, with anticipation for the outcome of the US election and Q4\u2019s close setting a potential target of $80,000 by year-end.<\/p>\n

Related Reading: Neiro Breaks Above Key Level Following 10% Weekly Drop, Is $0.0020 Next?<\/a><\/div>\n

Bitcoin Volatility About To Reach Its Peak<\/h2>\n

Crypto exchange Bitfinex\u2019s recent report<\/a> shared that Bitcoin\u2019s price could hit $80,000 by the end of the year due to a convergence of geopolitical uncertainty, macroeconomic factors, seasonality, and the increasing influence of the \u201cTrump Trade.\u201d<\/p>\n

The report noted that, historically, global macroeconomic trends and geopolitics events influenced BTC’s price. As a result, the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization has seen its price movements driven by the anticipated US Presidential elections.<\/p>\n

The potential outcome of the elections, scheduled for next week, has affected Bitcoin\u2019s performance throughout the year. Both presidential candidates have acknowledged<\/a> the crypto industry, with the Republican candidate Donald Trump becoming the sector\u2019s champion after fully embracing Bitcoin and crypto.<\/p>\n

Trump\u2019s pro-crypto stance increased the correlation between the Republican candidate\u2019s winning odds and Bitcoin\u2019s trajectory. \u00a0Moreover, the \u201cTrump Trade\u201d narrative reflects \u201cthe market\u2019s view of how BTC will fare dependent on the outcome of the election.\u201d<\/p>\n

Per the report, this narrative has fueled Bitcoin volatility<\/a>, with the flagship crypto seeing sharp intra-week corrections before rebounding. Last week, BTC saw a 6.2% pullback toward the $65,000 support zone before reclaiming the $68,000 mark again.<\/p>\n

Bitfinex analysts consider that this pullback might be the first of several \u201cwhipsaw price movements\u201d ahead of the elections, affecting BTC\u2019s short-term price as speculation and volatility increase.<\/p>\n

Additionally, option premiums and estimated daily volatility for the US stock market and Bitcoin are projected to rise significantly next week. The report noted that BTC volatility will peak between November 6 and November 8, when the Election results are expected to be delivered.<\/p>\n

Reportedly, the highest implied volatility (IV) is for the November 8 strike price \u201creaching up to over 100 vol for strike prices over $100,000 for BTC.\u201d<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin\"
Volatility curves for BTC options by Deribit Metrics. Source: Bitfinex<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

BTC Poised To Hit $80,000 In Late December<\/h2>\n

The report noted that Bitcoin has shown strength despite the increasing volatility. The flagship crypto \u201chas remained resilient\u201d and held its ground compared to the September lows, surging around 30% from last month\u2019s drop.<\/p>\n

Additionally, BTC closed September, which has historically been a challenging month for the cryptocurrency, with a 7.29% increase, the highest closing<\/a> for the month on record. The crypto exchange\u2019s report predicted that October\u2019s close could be \u201cless impressive\u201d due to the volatility.<\/p>\n

Nonetheless, Bitfinex analysts suggested that Q4\u2019s historically bullish seasonality will still favor a positive rally for BTC. Market positioning shows that end-of-year options have seen a considerable rise in call open interest over the last few weeks.<\/p>\n

Related Reading: Bitcoin Hash Ribbons Flash \u2018Buy\u2019 Signal: Analysts See New Highs On The Horizon<\/a><\/div>\n

BTC is expected to continue experiencing higher-than-average volatility and potentially see deep corrections<\/a> in the coming days. But the market seems poised for a post-election surge above March\u2019s $73,666 all-time high (ATH).<\/p>\n

Lastly, call options with a December 27 expiry and an $80,000 strike price have seen a steady build-up, suggesting that this target could be in reach by year-end. As of this writing, BTC is trading at $71,197, a $3.4% increase in the daily timeframe.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin,
Bitcoin (BTC) performance in the weekly chart. Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n
Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

According to Bitfinex, Bitcoin (BTC) volatility is set to intensify over the next week. A \u201cpotent mix\u201d of geopolitical and macroeconomic factors has significantly influenced the flagship crypto’s performance, with anticipation for the outcome of the US election and Q4\u2019s close setting a potential target of $80,000 by year-end. Related Reading: Neiro Breaks Above Key Level Following 10% Weekly Drop, Is $0.0020 Next? Bitcoin Volatility About To Reach Its Peak Crypto exchange Bitfinex\u2019s recent report shared that Bitcoin\u2019s price could hit $80,000 by the end of the year due to a convergence of geopolitical uncertainty, macroeconomic factors, seasonality, and the increasing influence of the \u201cTrump Trade.\u201d The report noted that, historically, global macroeconomic trends and geopolitics events influenced BTC’s price. As a result, the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization has seen its price movements driven by the anticipated US Presidential elections. The potential outcome of the elections, scheduled for next week, has affected Bitcoin\u2019s performance throughout the year. Both presidential candidates have acknowledged the crypto industry, with the Republican candidate Donald Trump becoming the sector\u2019s champion after fully embracing Bitcoin and crypto. Trump\u2019s pro-crypto stance increased the correlation between the Republican candidate\u2019s winning odds and Bitcoin\u2019s trajectory. \u00a0Moreover, the \u201cTrump Trade\u201d narrative reflects \u201cthe market\u2019s view of how BTC will fare dependent on the outcome of the election.\u201d Per the report, this narrative has fueled Bitcoin volatility, with the flagship crypto seeing sharp intra-week corrections before rebounding. Last week, BTC saw a 6.2% pullback toward the $65,000 support zone before reclaiming the $68,000 mark again. Bitfinex analysts consider that this pullback might be the first of several \u201cwhipsaw price movements\u201d ahead of the elections, affecting BTC\u2019s short-term price as speculation and volatility increase. Additionally, option premiums and estimated daily volatility for the US stock market and Bitcoin are projected to rise significantly next week. The report noted that BTC volatility will peak between November 6 and November 8, when the Election results are expected to be delivered. Reportedly, the highest implied volatility (IV) is for the November 8 strike price \u201creaching up to over 100 vol for strike prices over $100,000 for BTC.\u201d BTC Poised To Hit $80,000 In Late December The report noted that Bitcoin has shown strength despite the increasing volatility. The flagship crypto \u201chas remained resilient\u201d and held its ground compared to the September lows, surging around 30% from last month\u2019s drop. Additionally, BTC closed September, which has historically been a challenging month for the cryptocurrency, with a 7.29% increase, the highest closing for the month on record. The crypto exchange\u2019s report predicted that October\u2019s close could be \u201cless impressive\u201d due to the volatility. Nonetheless, Bitfinex analysts suggested that Q4\u2019s historically bullish seasonality will still favor a positive rally for BTC. Market positioning shows that end-of-year options have seen a considerable rise in call open interest over the last few weeks. Related Reading: Bitcoin Hash Ribbons Flash \u2018Buy\u2019 Signal: Analysts See New Highs On The Horizon BTC is expected to continue experiencing higher-than-average volatility and potentially see deep corrections in the coming days. But the market seems poised for a post-election surge above March\u2019s $73,666 all-time high (ATH). Lastly, call options with a December 27 expiry and an $80,000 strike price have seen a steady build-up, suggesting that this target could be in reach by year-end. As of this writing, BTC is trading at $71,197, a $3.4% increase in the daily timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":614,"featured_media":604954,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[88240],"tags":[428,6575,679,790,925,1119,78790,12307,10923,8480,92697,93296,4313],"class_list":["post-650570","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-options","tag-bitcoin-price","tag-bitcoin-volatility","tag-bitfinex","tag-btc","tag-btcusdt","tag-crypto-exchange","tag-crypto-market","tag-donald-trump","tag-kamala-harris","tag-trump-trade","tag-us-elections"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin Volatility To Peak By Nov. 8 As \u2018Trump Trade\u2019 Intensifies<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin volatility is expected to peak by November 8, driven 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Her goal as a writer is to create informative, complete, and easily understandable pieces accessible to those entering the crypto space. After learning about cryptocurrencies in 2019, Rubmar became curious about the world of possibilities the industry offered, quickly learning that financial freedom was at the palm of her hand with the developing technology. From a young age, Rubmar was curious about how languages work, finding special interest in wordplay and the peculiarities of dialects. Her curiosity grew as she became an avid reader in her teenage years. She explored freedom and new words through her favorite books, which shaped her view of the world. Rubmar acquired the necessary skills for in-depth research and analytical thinking at university, where she studied Literature and Linguistics. Her studies have given her a sharp perspective on several topics and allowed her to turn every stone in her investigations. In 2019, she first dipped her toes in the crypto industry when a friend introduced her to Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies, but it wasn\u2019t until 2020 that she started to dive into the depth of the industry. As Rubmar began to understand the mechanics of the crypto sphere, she saw a new world yet to be explored. At the beginning of her crypto voyage, she discovered a new system that allowed her to have control over her finances. As a young adult of the 21st century, Rubmar has faced the challenges of the traditional banking system and the restrictions of fiat money. After the failure of her home country\u2019s economy, the limitations of traditional finances became clear. The bureaucratic, outdated structure made her feel hopeless and powerless amid an aggressive and distorted system created by hyperinflation. However, learning about decentralization and self-custody opened a realm of opportunities. Cryptocurrencies allowed her to experience financial control for the first time and expand her financial education. Moreover, the peculiar nature of the crypto community sparked Rubmar\u2019s curiosity about the other layers of the industry. As a result, she found a particular interest in discovering the diverse perspectives of investors, market watchers, experts, and developers. Her attempts to better understand the crypto space made her realize the strong links of the community with other industries, enriching her perspective of the sector. As someone who spends most of her day online, Rubmar enjoys finding the points where the crypto world meets with her other passions and hobbies \u00ad\u2013or her favorite memes. In her free time, she usually finds joy in different art forms. As a child, she enlisted in every extra-curricular activity in her hometown, including music classes, dancing, jewelry making, and the local chorus. Despite her many attempts to learn different instruments, Rubmar only knows how to play the xylophone, which she played for 7 years in her school\u2019s marching band. She also has a passion for learning new languages and cultures, having set the goal to learn another six languages \u00ad\u2013 currently attempting to learn Italian and Korean. Scrapbooking, paper crafting, and bookbinding are her biggest interests outside of work, constantly taking classes and attending workshops to learn new techniques. The rest of her free time is spent stressing over football matches and transfer market news or feeding cats \u2013hers or stray. 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Her goal as a writer is to create informative, complete, and easily understandable pieces accessible to those entering the crypto space. After learning about cryptocurrencies in 2019, Rubmar became curious about the world of possibilities the industry offered, quickly learning that financial freedom was at the palm of her hand with the developing technology. From a young age, Rubmar was curious about how languages work, finding special interest in wordplay and the peculiarities of dialects. Her curiosity grew as she became an avid reader in her teenage years. She explored freedom and new words through her favorite books, which shaped her view of the world. Rubmar acquired the necessary skills for in-depth research and analytical thinking at university, where she studied Literature and Linguistics. Her studies have given her a sharp perspective on several topics and allowed her to turn every stone in her investigations. In 2019, she first dipped her toes in the crypto industry when a friend introduced her to Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies, but it wasn\u2019t until 2020 that she started to dive into the depth of the industry. As Rubmar began to understand the mechanics of the crypto sphere, she saw a new world yet to be explored. At the beginning of her crypto voyage, she discovered a new system that allowed her to have control over her finances. As a young adult of the 21st century, Rubmar has faced the challenges of the traditional banking system and the restrictions of fiat money. After the failure of her home country\u2019s economy, the limitations of traditional finances became clear. The bureaucratic, outdated structure made her feel hopeless and powerless amid an aggressive and distorted system created by hyperinflation. However, learning about decentralization and self-custody opened a realm of opportunities. Cryptocurrencies allowed her to experience financial control for the first time and expand her financial education. Moreover, the peculiar nature of the crypto community sparked Rubmar\u2019s curiosity about the other layers of the industry. As a result, she found a particular interest in discovering the diverse perspectives of investors, market watchers, experts, and developers. Her attempts to better understand the crypto space made her realize the strong links of the community with other industries, enriching her perspective of the sector. As someone who spends most of her day online, Rubmar enjoys finding the points where the crypto world meets with her other passions and hobbies \u00ad\u2013or her favorite memes. In her free time, she usually finds joy in different art forms. As a child, she enlisted in every extra-curricular activity in her hometown, including music classes, dancing, jewelry making, and the local chorus. Despite her many attempts to learn different instruments, Rubmar only knows how to play the xylophone, which she played for 7 years in her school\u2019s marching band. She also has a passion for learning new languages and cultures, having set the goal to learn another six languages \u00ad\u2013 currently attempting to learn Italian and Korean. Scrapbooking, paper crafting, and bookbinding are her biggest interests outside of work, constantly taking classes and attending workshops to learn new techniques. The rest of her free time is spent stressing over football matches and transfer market news or feeding cats \u2013hers or stray. 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