{"id":652952,"date":"2024-11-14T02:30:56","date_gmt":"2024-11-14T02:30:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/?p=652952"},"modified":"2024-11-14T00:19:25","modified_gmt":"2024-11-14T00:19:25","slug":"bitcoin-price-peak-200-days-us-recession-2025-report","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/bitcoin-news\/bitcoin-price-peak-200-days-us-recession-2025-report\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Price Could Peak In 200 Days, Before US Recession In Mid-2025, Report Says"},"content":{"rendered":"

The current Bitcoin (BTC) rally could extend until mid-2025, with a potential price peak before a US recession.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bitcoin Could Peak In Mid-2025 Before US Recession<\/span><\/h2>\n

A recent Copper Research report<\/a>, a recent\u00a0crypto research firm, posits<\/span>\u00a0that the leading cryptocurrency by market cap could extend its bullish momentum until mid-2025.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Related Reading: Bitcoin Data Reveals Bulls Are Growing But Still Behind March 2024 Peak \u2013 Details<\/a><\/div>\n

As of November 13, Bitcoin is on day 555 of its current market cycle, and a price peak for the digital asset could arrive within the next 200 days. Notably, this peak may coincide with a potential US recession forecasted for mid-2025.<\/span><\/p>\n

According to the report, Bitcoin\u2019s market cycles average 756 days. The starting point of these cycles is when the annual average growth of Bitcoin\u2019s market capitalization turns positive, while the endpoint is when it hits a price peak.<\/span><\/p>\n

The report marks the beginning of the current market cycle around mid-2023, just before asset manager BlackRock filed for a BTC exchange-traded fund (ETF).\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Should Bitcoin stay true to its historical price patterns, the digital asset can hit its price peak for this cycle sometime around mid-2025.<\/span><\/p>\n

The report cites estimates by JPMorgan about the likelihood of a US recession in mid-2025. As a result, BTC\u2019s price peak might align with a potential US economic downturn.<\/span><\/p>\n

Based on data from Treasury spreads, JPMorgan gives a 45% chance of a potential US recession by mid-2025.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

The report further highlights the gap between BTC\u2019s price top and realized volatility. For the uninitiated, realized volatility measures BTC’s price fluctuations over a specific period, showing the standard deviation of the asset\u2019s returns from the market\u2019s mean return.<\/span><\/p>\n

BTC\u2019s realized volatility currently stands at around 50%, indicating that its volatility is only halfway to previous bull market peaks.<\/span><\/p>\n

Another bullish technical indicator for the BTC price trajectory is its filtered relative strength index (RSI). The report reads:<\/span><\/p>\n

Currently, the RSI sits at 60 – well below previous bull market highs – indicating considerable room for Bitcoin to continue building momentum into the new year.<\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

BTC Could Rise Further, But Caution Is Necessary<\/span><\/h2>\n

The digital assets market has been on a strong upward trend since pro-crypto Donald Trump\u2019s victory in the 2024 US presidential election.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Related Reading: Bitcoin ETFs See Historic Surge \u2013 Institutions Go Bullish On BTC With $1.38 Billion Record Inflows<\/a><\/div>\n

Notably, the emerging industry has witnessed its total market cap surge beyond $3 trillion for the first time since November 2021.<\/span><\/p>\n

The rise in total crypto market cap – largely driven by BTC – is not surprising since the Trump administration is <\/span>speculated<\/span><\/a> to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve akin to that of El Salvador under Nayib Bukele.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bitcoin\u2019s unprecedented price action has <\/span>propelled<\/span><\/a> the digital asset\u2019s total market cap beyond that of silver, solidifying it as the 8th largest global asset by market cap in existence.<\/span><\/p>\n

With this in mind, it will be interesting to see how BTC dominance (BTC.D) behaves in the coming weeks, especially after facing <\/span>rejection<\/span><\/a> just below the $90,000 level.<\/span><\/p>\n

Currently <\/span>hovering<\/span><\/a> slightly above 60%, a fall in BTC.D could signal a capital rotation from BTC into altcoins, potentially benefiting smaller-cap digital assets.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

BTC trades at $87,767 at press time, up 1.1% in the past 24 hours. The asset\u2019s total market cap sits at $1.738 trillion.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"bitcoin\"
BTC trades at $87,767 on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n
Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView.com<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The current Bitcoin (BTC) rally could extend until mid-2025, with a potential price peak before a US recession. Bitcoin Could Peak In Mid-2025 Before US Recession A recent Copper Research report, a recent\u00a0crypto research firm, posits\u00a0that the leading cryptocurrency by market cap could extend its bullish momentum until mid-2025.\u00a0 Related Reading: Bitcoin Data Reveals Bulls Are Growing But Still Behind March 2024 Peak \u2013 Details As of November 13, Bitcoin is on day 555 of its current market cycle, and a price peak for the digital asset could arrive within the next 200 days. Notably, this peak may coincide with a potential US recession forecasted for mid-2025. According to the report, Bitcoin\u2019s market cycles average 756 days. The starting point of these cycles is when the annual average growth of Bitcoin\u2019s market capitalization turns positive, while the endpoint is when it hits a price peak. The report marks the beginning of the current market cycle around mid-2023, just before asset manager BlackRock filed for a BTC exchange-traded fund (ETF).\u00a0 Should Bitcoin stay true to its historical price patterns, the digital asset can hit its price peak for this cycle sometime around mid-2025. The report cites estimates by JPMorgan about the likelihood of a US recession in mid-2025. As a result, BTC\u2019s price peak might align with a potential US economic downturn. Based on data from Treasury spreads, JPMorgan gives a 45% chance of a potential US recession by mid-2025.\u00a0 The report further highlights the gap between BTC\u2019s price top and realized volatility. For the uninitiated, realized volatility measures BTC’s price fluctuations over a specific period, showing the standard deviation of the asset\u2019s returns from the market\u2019s mean return. BTC\u2019s realized volatility currently stands at around 50%, indicating that its volatility is only halfway to previous bull market peaks. Another bullish technical indicator for the BTC price trajectory is its filtered relative strength index (RSI). The report reads: Currently, the RSI sits at 60 – well below previous bull market highs – indicating considerable room for Bitcoin to continue building momentum into the new year. BTC Could Rise Further, But Caution Is Necessary The digital assets market has been on a strong upward trend since pro-crypto Donald Trump\u2019s victory in the 2024 US presidential election.\u00a0 Related Reading: Bitcoin ETFs See Historic Surge \u2013 Institutions Go Bullish On BTC With $1.38 Billion Record Inflows Notably, the emerging industry has witnessed its total market cap surge beyond $3 trillion for the first time since November 2021. The rise in total crypto market cap – largely driven by BTC – is not surprising since the Trump administration is speculated to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve akin to that of El Salvador under Nayib Bukele. Bitcoin\u2019s unprecedented price action has propelled the digital asset\u2019s total market cap beyond that of silver, solidifying it as the 8th largest global asset by market cap in existence. With this in mind, it will be interesting to see how BTC dominance (BTC.D) behaves in the coming weeks, especially after facing rejection just below the $90,000 level. Currently hovering slightly above 60%, a fall in BTC.D could signal a capital rotation from BTC into altcoins, potentially benefiting smaller-cap digital assets.\u00a0 BTC trades at $87,767 at press time, up 1.1% in the past 24 hours. The asset\u2019s total market cap sits at $1.738 trillion. Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":619,"featured_media":652957,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[88240],"tags":[134,428,1119,75754,78790,87925,1558,15385,8480,1944],"class_list":["post-652952","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin-news","tag-altcoin","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-btc-d","tag-btcusdt","tag-crypto-asset","tag-cryptocurrency","tag-digital-asset","tag-donald-trump","tag-etf"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin Price Could Peak In 200 Days, Before US Recession In Mid-2025, Report Says<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The current Bitcoin (BTC) rally could extend until mid-2025, with a potential price peak before a US recession.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, 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With a background in writing and a natural curiosity for how digital assets are shaping the future, he has immersed himself in various sectors of the cryptocurrency space, including decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and liquidity mining. His journey into crypto started with a desire to fully understand the technology behind it, leading him to explore and engage with these systems firsthand. Ash\u2019s approach to DeFi goes beyond surface-level research as he actively participates in decentralized protocols, testing their functionality to gain a deeper understanding of how they operate. From experimenting with staking mechanisms to exploring liquidity mining strategies, he is hands-on in his exploration, which allows him to provide practical, real-world insights that go far beyond theoretical knowledge. This immersive experience has helped him develop a comprehensive grasp of smart contracts, token governance, and the broader implications of decentralized platforms on the future of finance. In the NFT space, Ash\u2019s interest is driven by the technology\u2019s potential to reshape ownership and creativity in the digital age. He has explored various NFT projects, gaining insights into how these digital assets function within different ecosystems. His focus is on understanding the evolving relationship between creators and communities, as well as the innovative uses of blockchain technology to establish authenticity and provenance in the digital world. Ash\u2019s research in this area often touches on the intersection of culture, technology, and community-driven projects. A key area of his expertise lies in liquidity mining, where he has engaged with various decentralized platforms to understand how liquidity provision contributes to the functionality and security of DeFi ecosystems. Ash\u2019s hands-on involvement has allowed him to analyze the risks, rewards, and broader implications of liquidity pools, giving him a well-rounded perspective on this integral part of DeFi. His understanding of risk management and protocol design allows him to provide insights into how these systems can be navigated effectively, with an emphasis on both opportunity and caution. When it comes to communicating these complex topics, Ash\u2019s writing is grounded in clarity and depth. He excels at breaking down intricate blockchain concepts into easily digestible information for a wide audience. Whether explaining the workings of decentralized exchanges or outlining the future potential of blockchain technology, Ash ensures that his content is accessible to both those new to the space and experienced participants looking for deeper insights. Beyond DeFi and NFTs, Ash explores a wide array of emerging blockchain applications. His research spans areas like cross-chain technologies, decentralized governance, and blockchain\u2019s potential to integrate with traditional finance. He is continuously learning and adapting to the latest developments, ensuring that his insights are both timely and relevant. His interest extends to how these technologies are creating new possibilities for decentralization, transparency, and trust in a variety of industries. Ash\u2019s commitment to engaging with the crypto space firsthand gives him a unique perspective that goes beyond what can be learned from research alone. His practical involvement allows him to stay ahead of the curve, offering readers and enthusiasts a clear and comprehensive understanding of the rapidly evolving world of blockchain. Whether delving into the technical mechanics of DeFi or exploring the cultural impact of NFTs, Ash\u2019s approach is always rooted in curiosity, research, and a desire to make this technology accessible to all.","url":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/author\/aisshwaryatiwari\/"}]}},"parsely":{"version":"1.1.0","meta":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@type":"NewsArticle","headline":"Bitcoin Price Could Peak In 200 Days, Before US Recession In Mid-2025, Report Says","url":"http:\/\/wncen.com\/bitcoin-news\/bitcoin-price-peak-200-days-us-recession-2025-report\/","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"http:\/\/wncen.com\/bitcoin-news\/bitcoin-price-peak-200-days-us-recession-2025-report\/"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/bitcoin_3798d1.jpg?resize=200%2C200","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/bitcoin_3798d1.jpg?fit=1920%2C1277"},"articleSection":"Bitcoin News","author":[{"@type":"Person","name":"Ash Tiwari"}],"creator":["Ash Tiwari"],"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"NewsBTC","logo":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/cropped-cropped-cropped-favicon.png?w=32"},"keywords":["altcoin","bitcoin","btc","btc.d","btcusdt","crypto asset","cryptocurrency","digital asset","donald trump","etf"],"dateCreated":"2024-11-14T02:30:56Z","datePublished":"2024-11-14T02:30:56Z","dateModified":"2024-11-14T02:30:56Z"},"rendered":"<script type=\"application\/ld+json\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"headline\":\"Bitcoin Price Could Peak In 200 Days, Before US Recession In Mid-2025, Report Says\",\"url\":\"http:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/bitcoin-news\\\/bitcoin-price-peak-200-days-us-recession-2025-report\\\/\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"http:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/bitcoin-news\\\/bitcoin-price-peak-200-days-us-recession-2025-report\\\/\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/11\\\/bitcoin_3798d1.jpg?resize=200%2C200\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/11\\\/bitcoin_3798d1.jpg?fit=1920%2C1277\"},\"articleSection\":\"Bitcoin News\",\"author\":[{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Ash Tiwari\"}],\"creator\":[\"Ash Tiwari\"],\"publisher\":{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"name\":\"NewsBTC\",\"logo\":\"https:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2020\\\/06\\\/cropped-cropped-cropped-favicon.png?w=32\"},\"keywords\":[\"altcoin\",\"bitcoin\",\"btc\",\"btc.d\",\"btcusdt\",\"crypto asset\",\"cryptocurrency\",\"digital asset\",\"donald trump\",\"etf\"],\"dateCreated\":\"2024-11-14T02:30:56Z\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-11-14T02:30:56Z\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-11-14T02:30:56Z\"}<\/script>","tracker_url":"https:\/\/cdn.parsely.com\/keys\/wncen.com\/p.js"},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/bitcoin_3798d1.jpg?fit=1920%2C1277","amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/652952","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/619"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=652952"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/652952\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":652959,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/652952\/revisions\/652959"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/652957"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=652952"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=652952"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=652952"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}