{"id":688113,"date":"2025-02-01T05:00:33","date_gmt":"2025-02-01T05:00:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/?p=688113"},"modified":"2025-01-31T17:16:51","modified_gmt":"2025-01-31T17:16:51","slug":"analyst-says-bitcoin-is-bullish-but-its-time-for-caution","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/bitcoin-news\/analyst-says-bitcoin-is-bullish-but-its-time-for-caution\/","title":{"rendered":"Analyst Says Bitcoin Is Bullish But It&#8217;s Time For Caution"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-pm-slice=\"1 1 []\">Bitcoin price has regained upward traction, <a href=\"https:\/\/wncen.com\/news\/bitcoin\/bitcoin-in-ascending-phase\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">trading back above $105,000<\/a> after a temporary dip below $104,000 earlier today. This 1.2% increase over the past hour reflects renewed optimism in the market.<\/p>\n<p data-pm-slice=\"1 1 []\">Amid this price performance, Crypto Dan, a CryptoQuant analyst has shared his <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoquant.com\/insights\/quicktake\/679c6fdf9b745157283d5c4f-The-Crypto-Market-Remains-Bullish-But-Its-Time-for-Caution\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">analysis<\/a> of on-chain data and market behaviors that may shape Bitcoin\u2019s trajectory in the weeks and months ahead.<\/p>\n<div class=\"related-reading-shortcode\">Related Reading: <a href=\"https:\/\/wncen.com\/bitcoin-news\/bitcoin-outflows-signal-bullish-strength-as-demand-remains-high-at-100k-what-this-means\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">Bitcoin Outflows Signal Bullish Strength As Demand Remains High At $100K \u2013 What This Means<\/a><\/div>\n<h2 data-pm-slice=\"1 1 []\">Bitcoin Bullish Market But Caution<\/h2>\n<p data-pm-slice=\"1 1 []\">According to Dan, the amount of Bitcoin held for less than six months continues to show notable growth with each market cycle. This trend suggests that as Bitcoin\u2019s appeal widens, new capital inflows\u2014particularly from the expected introduction of Bitcoin spot ETFs\u2014could further drive demand.<\/p>\n<p data-pm-slice=\"1 1 []\">Dan anticipates that both institutional and retail investors will <a href=\"https:\/\/wncen.com\/news\/bitcoin\/no-more-bitcoin-bear-market-fund-cio\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">ramp up<\/a> their involvement as these ETFs gain traction by the first half of 2025.<\/p>\n<p data-pm-slice=\"1 1 []\">Additionally, while current indicators remain bullish, Crypto Dan warns that surging interest in Bitcoin and altcoins, paired with an influx of new investors, could signal that the current cycle may be nearing its peak.<\/p>\n<p data-pm-slice=\"1 1 []\">If Bitcoin pushes through its all-time high with significant momentum, and altcoins follow suit, it could trigger a wave of inflows that may mark the cycle\u2019s final stages. Dan advises investors to start considering risk management strategies.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">The Crypto Market Remains Bullish\u2026 But It&#8217;s Time for Caution<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf Bitcoin breaks through its all-time high with strong momentum and altcoins follow suit, triggering a wave of new investor inflows, it may indicate that the end of the cycle is approaching.\u201d \u2013 By <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DanCoinInvestor?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">@DanCoinInvestor<\/a>\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/NvKB8Ly1DE\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">pic.twitter.com\/NvKB8Ly1DE<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/cryptoquant_com\/status\/04233723?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">January 31, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<h2 data-pm-slice=\"1 1 []\">Diverging Inflows from Retail and Whales<\/h2>\n<p data-pm-slice=\"1 1 []\">This cautionary note is reinforced by observations from another CryptoQuant analyst, Darkfost, who <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoquant.com\/insights\/quicktake\/679be9739b745157283c6db0-Binance-Investors-inflows-Whales-vs-Retails\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">highlights<\/a> a discrepancy in the behavior of retail investors and whales.<\/p>\n<p data-pm-slice=\"1 1 []\">According to recent Binance data, retail investors have significantly increased their BTC deposits over the past month, with inflows reaching approximately 6,000 BTC. In contrast, whale activity on Binance has dwindled, with their BTC<a href=\"https:\/\/wncen.com\/bitcoin-news\/bitcoin-outflows-signal-bullish-strength-as-demand-remains-high-at-100k-what-this-means\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \"> inflows dropping<\/a> to around 1,000 BTC\u2014a fourfold decrease.<\/p>\n<p data-pm-slice=\"1 1 []\">Darkfost notes that retail investors often use exchanges to<a href=\"https:\/\/wncen.com\/bitcoin-news\/bitcoin-market-position-amid-shorttrm-selling-pressure\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \"> liquidate their holdings<\/a>, whereas whales\u2019 reduced inflows suggest they are holding onto their Bitcoin.<\/p>\n<div class=\"related-reading-shortcode\">Related Reading: <a href=\"https:\/\/wncen.com\/news\/bitcoin\/bitcoin-in-ascending-phase\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">Bitcoin Price Enters Ascending Phase After Cup And Handle Formation At $105,000, Here\u2019s The Next Target<\/a><\/div>\n<p data-pm-slice=\"1 1 []\">This contrasting behavior offers insights into broader market sentiment: retail participants appear eager to capitalize on short-term gains, while larger, more <a href=\"https:\/\/wncen.com\/bitcoin-news\/bitcoin-mpi-crossover-suggest-bull-run-still-on\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">established investors<\/a> maintain a more cautious stance.<\/p>\n<p data-pm-slice=\"1 1 []\">Historically, following whale behavior rather than retail trends has provided a more reliable signal for long-term market moves. Darkfost highlighted this noting:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p data-pm-slice=\"1 1 []\">This is a perfect example of the contrasting behaviors between whales and retail traders and it is often considered a better choice to follow whales rather than retail investors<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<figure style=\"width: 3250px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/n2hJJY5X\/\" alt=\"Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on TradingView\" width=\"3250\" height=\"1794\"><figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">BTC price is moving sideways on the 2-hour chart. Source: BTC\/USDT on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/chart\/HSuSIPeM\/?symbol=BINANCE%3ABTCUSDT.P\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">TradingView.com<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p data-pm-slice=\"1 1 []\">Featured Image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin price has regained upward traction, trading back above $105,000 after a temporary dip below $104,000 earlier today. This 1.2% increase over the past hour reflects renewed optimism in the market. Amid this price performance, Crypto Dan, a CryptoQuant analyst has shared his analysis of on-chain data and market behaviors that may shape Bitcoin\u2019s trajectory in the weeks and months ahead. Related Reading: Bitcoin Outflows Signal Bullish Strength As Demand Remains High At $100K \u2013 What This Means Bitcoin Bullish Market But Caution According to Dan, the amount of Bitcoin held for less than six months continues to show notable growth with each market cycle. This trend suggests that as Bitcoin\u2019s appeal widens, new capital inflows\u2014particularly from the expected introduction of Bitcoin spot ETFs\u2014could further drive demand. Dan anticipates that both institutional and retail investors will ramp up their involvement as these ETFs gain traction by the first half of 2025. Additionally, while current indicators remain bullish, Crypto Dan warns that surging interest in Bitcoin and altcoins, paired with an influx of new investors, could signal that the current cycle may be nearing its peak. If Bitcoin pushes through its all-time high with significant momentum, and altcoins follow suit, it could trigger a wave of inflows that may mark the cycle\u2019s final stages. Dan advises investors to start considering risk management strategies. The Crypto Market Remains Bullish\u2026 But It&#8217;s Time for Caution \u201cIf Bitcoin breaks through its all-time high with strong momentum and altcoins follow suit, triggering a wave of new investor inflows, it may indicate that the end of the cycle is approaching.\u201d \u2013 By @DanCoinInvestor\u2026 pic.twitter.com\/NvKB8Ly1DE \u2014 CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) January 31, 2025 Diverging Inflows from Retail and Whales This cautionary note is reinforced by observations from another CryptoQuant analyst, Darkfost, who highlights a discrepancy in the behavior of retail investors and whales. According to recent Binance data, retail investors have significantly increased their BTC deposits over the past month, with inflows reaching approximately 6,000 BTC. In contrast, whale activity on Binance has dwindled, with their BTC inflows dropping to around 1,000 BTC\u2014a fourfold decrease. Darkfost notes that retail investors often use exchanges to liquidate their holdings, whereas whales\u2019 reduced inflows suggest they are holding onto their Bitcoin. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Enters Ascending Phase After Cup And Handle Formation At $105,000, Here\u2019s The Next Target This contrasting behavior offers insights into broader market sentiment: retail participants appear eager to capitalize on short-term gains, while larger, more established investors maintain a more cautious stance. Historically, following whale behavior rather than retail trends has provided a more reliable signal for long-term market moves. Darkfost highlighted this noting: This is a perfect example of the contrasting behaviors between whales and retail traders and it is often considered a better choice to follow whales rather than retail investors Featured Image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":580,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[88240],"tags":[428,629,1119,26263,10923,83531],"class_list":["post-688113","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bitcoin-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-market","tag-btc","tag-crypto-analyst","tag-crypto-market","tag-cryptoquant"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n<title>Analyst Says Bitcoin Is Bullish But It&#039;s Time For Caution<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin price has regained upward traction, trading back above $105,000 after a temporary dip below $104,000 earlier today. 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His determination is quite unwavering to be honest, and he embodies the philosophy of continuous improvement, or \u201ckaizen,\u201d striving to be 1% better every day. His mantras, \u201cGod knows best\u201d and \u201cEverything is still on track,\u201d reflect his resilient outlook and how he lives his life. In a nutshell, Samuel Edyme was born efficient, driven by ambition, and perhaps a touch fierce. He\u2019s neither artistic nor unrealistic, and certainly not chauvinistic. Think of him as Bruce Willis in a train wreck\u2014unflappable. Edyme is like trading in your car for a jet\u2014bold. He\u2019s the guy who\u2019d ask his boss for a pay cut just to prove a point\u2014(uhhh\u2026). He is like watching your kid take his first steps. Imagine Bill Gates struggling with rent\u2014okay, maybe that\u2019s a stretch, but you get the idea, yeah. Unbelievable? Yes. Inconceivable? Perhaps. Edyme sees himself as a fairly reasonable guy, albeit a bit stubborn. 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A web3 content writer, journalist, and aspiring trader, Edyme is as versatile as they come. With a knack for words and a nose for trends, he has penned pieces for numerous industry player, including AMBCrypto, Blockchain.News, and Blockchain Reporter, among others. Edyme\u2019s foray into the crypto universe is nothing short of cinematic. His journey began not with a triumphant investment, but with a scam. Yes, a Ponzi scheme that used crypto as payment roped him in. Rather than retreating, he emerged wiser and more determined, channeling his experience into over three years of insightful market analysis. Before becoming the voice of reason in the crypto space, Edyme was the quintessential crypto degen. He aped into anything that promised a quick buck, anything ape-able, learning the ropes the hard way. These hands-on experience through major market events\u2014like the Terra Luna crash, the wave of bankruptcies in crypto firms, the notorious FTX collapse, and even CZ\u2019s arrest\u2014has honed his keen sense of market dynamics. When he isn\u2019t crafting engaging crypto content, you\u2019ll find Edyme backtesting charts, studying both forex and synthetic indices. His dedication to mastering the art of trading is as relentless as his pursuit of the next big story. Away from his screens, he can be found in the gym, airpods in, working out and listening to his favorite artist, NF. Or maybe he\u2019s catching some Z\u2019s or scrolling through Elon Musk\u2019s very own X platform\u2014(oops, another screen activity, my bad\u2026) Well, being an introvert, Edyme thrives in the digital realm, preferring online interaction over offline encounters\u2014(don\u2019t judge, that\u2019s just how he is built). His determination is quite unwavering to be honest, and he embodies the philosophy of continuous improvement, or \u201ckaizen,\u201d striving to be 1% better every day. His mantras, \u201cGod knows best\u201d and \u201cEverything is still on track,\u201d reflect his resilient outlook and how he lives his life. In a nutshell, Samuel Edyme was born efficient, driven by ambition, and perhaps a touch fierce. He\u2019s neither artistic nor unrealistic, and certainly not chauvinistic. Think of him as Bruce Willis in a train wreck\u2014unflappable. Edyme is like trading in your car for a jet\u2014bold. He\u2019s the guy who\u2019d ask his boss for a pay cut just to prove a point\u2014(uhhh\u2026). He is like watching your kid take his first steps. Imagine Bill Gates struggling with rent\u2014okay, maybe that\u2019s a stretch, but you get the idea, yeah. Unbelievable? Yes. Inconceivable? Perhaps. Edyme sees himself as a fairly reasonable guy, albeit a bit stubborn. Normal to you is not to him. He is not the one to take the easy road, and why would he? That\u2019s just not the way he roll. He has these favorite lyrics from NF\u2019s \u201cClouds\u201d that resonate deeply with him: \u201cWhat you think's probably unfeasible, I've done already a hundredfold.\u201d PS\u2014Edyme is HIM. HIM-buktu. Him-mulation. Him-Kardashian. Himon and Pumba. He even had his DNA tested, and guess what? He\u2019s 100% Him-alayan. Screw it, he ate the opp.","sameAs":["https:\/\/x.com\/0xEdyme"],"url":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/author\/samueledymeabayomi\/"}]}},"parsely":{"version":"1.1.0","meta":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@type":"NewsArticle","headline":"Analyst Says Bitcoin Is Bullish But It&#8217;s Time For Caution","url":"http:\/\/wncen.com\/bitcoin-news\/analyst-says-bitcoin-is-bullish-but-its-time-for-caution\/","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"http:\/\/wncen.com\/bitcoin-news\/analyst-says-bitcoin-is-bullish-but-its-time-for-caution\/"},"thumbnailUrl":"","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":""},"articleSection":"Bitcoin News","author":[{"@type":"Person","name":"Samuel Edyme"}],"creator":["Samuel Edyme"],"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"NewsBTC","logo":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/cropped-cropped-cropped-favicon.png?w=32"},"keywords":["bitcoin","bitcoin market","btc","crypto analyst","crypto market","cryptoquant"],"dateCreated":"2025-02-01T05:00:33Z","datePublished":"2025-02-01T05:00:33Z","dateModified":"2025-02-01T05:00:33Z"},"rendered":"<script type=\"application\/ld+json\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"headline\":\"Analyst Says Bitcoin Is Bullish But It&#8217;s Time For Caution\",\"url\":\"http:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/bitcoin-news\\\/analyst-says-bitcoin-is-bullish-but-its-time-for-caution\\\/\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"http:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/bitcoin-news\\\/analyst-says-bitcoin-is-bullish-but-its-time-for-caution\\\/\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"url\":\"\"},\"articleSection\":\"Bitcoin News\",\"author\":[{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Samuel Edyme\"}],\"creator\":[\"Samuel Edyme\"],\"publisher\":{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"name\":\"NewsBTC\",\"logo\":\"https:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2020\\\/06\\\/cropped-cropped-cropped-favicon.png?w=32\"},\"keywords\":[\"bitcoin\",\"bitcoin market\",\"btc\",\"crypto analyst\",\"crypto market\",\"cryptoquant\"],\"dateCreated\":\"2025-02-01T05:00:33Z\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-02-01T05:00:33Z\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-02-01T05:00:33Z\"}<\/script>","tracker_url":"https:\/\/cdn.parsely.com\/keys\/wncen.com\/p.js"},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/688113","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/580"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=688113"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/688113\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":688162,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/688113\/revisions\/688162"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=688113"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=688113"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=688113"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}