Data shows that the Paper Bitcoin inventory on exchanges has been on a decline recently. Here’s what it could imply for the cryptocurrency’s price.
Bitcoin Inventory On Exchanges Has Seen A Drawdown Recently
In a new on X, analyst Willy Woo has discussed the latest trend in the Bitcoin inventory sitting on centralized exchanges. Such platforms have two types of reserves: Spot BTC and Paper BTC.
The former of these is simply the actual tokens that the exchanges are holding on behalf of their users. This BTC naturally gets involved in normal trading activities.
Paper BTC refers to the derivatives products related to the cryptocurrency that don’t involve the investors owning any BTC. This form of the asset wasn’t relevant to the market for much of BTC’s history, but in recent years, derivatives trading has gained popularity. So, the influence of Paper BTC has become notable.
Below is the chart shared by the analyst that shows how the Bitcoin inventory on exchanges has changed over the last few years.
As is visible in the graph, the combined Paper and Spot Bitcoin inventory had been on the rise earlier. The peak of this upward trajectory coincided with the asset’s crash under the $50,000 level last month.
The exchange inventory going up has usually been bearish for the cryptocurrency, so this trend wasn’t surprising. After the plunge in the coin’s price, the metric had also seen a plummet and it was perhaps because of this reduction in the exchange inventory that the asset could recover.
In the chart, Woo has also separately attached the data for the Spot BTC (bottom-most curve). This indicator makes it apparent which side was behind the exchange inventory increase witnessed earlier.
Initially, the spot supply was also on the way up alongside the total exchange inventory. Still, midway through, the former fell to sideways movement while the latter kept rising.
Thus, it would appear that the main increase in the exchange inventory leading up to the price crash was contributed by the printing of Paper BTC. Similarly, Paper BTC has destabilized the market in the past as well, with its influence at its peak just before the FTX crash in November 2022.
Recently, the Bitcoin inventory on exchanges has plunged while the spot reserve has continued consolidating, suggesting Paper BTC has seen a wipeout. This means that while the coin has continued its bearish price action recently, at least the threat of Paper BTC isn’t looming over it.
BTC Price
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at around $58,300, down more than 8% over the past week.
Featured image from Dall-E, woocharts.com, chart from TradingView.com
Keshav is currently a senior writer at NewsBTC and has been attached to the website since June 14, 2021.
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Keshav has been writing for many years, first as a hobbyist and later as a freelancer. He has experience working in a variety of niches, even fiction at one point, but the cryptocurrency industry has been the longest he has been attached to.
In terms of official educational qualifications, Keshav holds a bachelor’s degree in Physics from one of the premier institutes of India, the University of Delhi (DU). He started the degree with an aim of eventually making a career in Physics, but the onset of COVID led to a shift in plans. The virus meant that the college classes had to be delivered in the online-mode and with it came free time for him to explore other passions.
Initially only seeking to make some beer money, Keshav unexpectedly landed clients offering real projects, after which there was no looking back. Writing was something he had always enjoyed and to be able to do it for a living was like a dream come true.
Keshav completed his Physics degree in 2022 and has been focusing on his writing career since, but that doesn’t mean his passion for Physics has ended. He eventually plans to re-enter university to obtain a masters degree in the same field, but perhaps only to satiate his own interest rather than for using it as a means to find employment..
Keshav has found blockchain and its concepts fascinating ever since he started going down the rabbit-hole back in 2020. On-chain analysis in particular has been something he likes to research more about, which is why his NewsBTC pieces tend to involve it in some form.
Being of the science background, Keshav likes if concepts are clear and consistent, so he generally explains the indicators he talks about in a bit of detail so that the readers can perhaps come out having understood and learnt something new.
As for hobbies, Keshav is super into football, anime, and videogames. He enjoys football not only as a watcher, but also as a player. For games, Keshav generally tends towards enjoying singleplayer adventures, with EA FC (formerly FIFA) being the only online game he is active in. Though, perhaps due to being ultra-focused on the game, he is today a semi-pro on the EA FC scene, regularly participating in tournaments and sometimes even taking back prize money.
Because of his enthusiasm for anime and games, he also self-learned Japanese along the way to consume some of the untranslated gems out there. The skill didn’t merely remain as just a hobby, either, as he put it to productive use during his exploration for small-time gigs at the start of COVID, fulfilling a couple of Japanese-to-English translation jobs.
Keshav is also big into fitness, with agility and acceleration-related workouts making a big part of his program due to the relevance they have in football. On top of that, he also has a more traditional strength based program for the gym, which he does to maintain an overall fitness level of his body.
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