Unpacking The Massive Bitcoin Cup And Handle Pattern
The Cup with Handle is a bullish continuation pattern that resembles a teacup on a chart. This pattern is formed when the price initially drops and then rises to form a rounded bottom—the “cup”—followed by a smaller downward move—the “handle”—before resuming its upward trajectory.The Cup: This segment of the pattern represents a period of consolidation and recovery. It typically starts with a high price point, gradually descends to a rounded, U-shaped trough, and ascends back to the initial high. In the case of Bitcoin, the cup formation began in November 2021 when the price reached its cycle high at $69,000 and ended in March 2024 after reclaiming the old all-time high, indicating the end of a long-term consolidation phase.
The Handle: Following the cup, a slight downward drift forms the handle, which is smaller in depth and duration compared to the cup. It usually represents a final consolidation or a shakeout of less bullish investors before a significant breakout. Bitcoin’s handle formed over the last several months, showing a tighter price range and lower volatility.
Upon the completion of the handle, the prevailing bullish sentiment and buying pressure often drive the price above the previous resistance level—formed by the rim of the cup. This breakout is critical as it confirms the pattern and sets the stage for future price gains.
The target price following a Cup with Handle breakout can be projected by measuring the depth of the cup and extrapolating this distance upwards from the point of breakout. For Bitcoin, the lowest point of the cup at roughly $15,500 relative to the initial high at $69,000 provides a vertical measure.Related Reading: Bitcoin Is ‘Still Significantly Undervalued,’ Says Finance Guru Bill Miller IV
Via X, Gert van Lagen stated: “BTC [3D] – Cup with Handle targeting $300k. Price has broken out of the handle / bull flag and retested it successfully for about four weeks already.”Perspectives From Other Analysts
Crypto analyst Nunya Bizniz has critiqued the analysis by pointing out the differences in outcomes based on whether measurements are taken on a logarithmic or a linear scale. According to Bizniz, a linear projection suggests a target near $121,947, while a logarithmic projection might see the price ascend to approximately $309,295.Measured move targets on a log chart? — Nunya Bizniz (@Pladizow)