{"id":480240,"date":"2022-01-03T17:12:14","date_gmt":"2022-01-03T17:12:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/?p=480240"},"modified":"2024-06-11T14:10:20","modified_gmt":"2024-06-11T14:10:20","slug":"2022-the-year-the-secular-bitcoin-bull-run-could-end","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/news\/2022-the-year-the-secular-bitcoin-bull-run-could-end\/","title":{"rendered":"2022: The Year The Secular Bitcoin Bull Run Could End"},"content":{"rendered":"

When the December 31, 2021 candle came to a close in Bitcoin<\/a>, it didn’t just begin a new calendar year \u2013 it triggered a sell setup of epic proportions. Here is why the secular bull run in cryptocurrency could come to an end this year, and the first true bear market emerge.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin Yearly Chart Triggers First Ever Sell Setup<\/h2>\n

You wouldn’t know it based on the recently bearish price action<\/a>, but Bitcoin has been in an ongoing bull market since the second the genesis block was generated exactly thirteen years ago today<\/a>.<\/p>\n

In the span of a normal childhood growing into a teenager, the price per coin has ballooned and bubbled its way from zero to $68,000 per BTC.<\/p>\n

Related Reading | Point & Figure: The Chart That Makes Bitcoin Support Cut And Dry<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

The trajectory hasn’t always been up<\/a>, as the price chart has shown, but the asset has been outrageously bullish nonetheless. Many indicators back up this theory, having never crossed into bear territory ever once since price was recorded.<\/p>\n

For example, the monthly MACD<\/a> hasn’t made it below the zero line since 2015 despite the 2018-2019 “bear market.” The monthly Directional Movement Index had only a month-long temporary bear cross around mid-2015, but aside from that has never been bearish<\/a> for an extended phase.<\/p>\n

However, the sequence of ups and downs experienced over the years, like any thirteen-year-old would experience, has resulted in a specific sell setup according to the TD Sequential<\/a>. The tool is a market timing indicator developed by Thomas DeMark \u2013 which on other timeframes has been useful in calling reversals.<\/p>\n

\"BTCUSD_2022-01-03_11-09-07\"<\/p>\n

The signal that makes you want to scream \"nine!\" | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com<\/a><\/pre>\n
At thirteen years since the asset’s debut, the first ever TD9 sell setup has appeared on the BTCUSD yearly price chart. On the TradingView BTCUSD Index, price action began in 2010. Bear market years of 2014-2015 and 2018-2019 excluded, there have been exactly 9 candles with a higher open than the previous candles \u2013 triggering the sell setup.<\/p>\n
Theorizing The End Of The Secular Bull Run<\/h2>\n
Despite the ominous signal, all is not lost for the current bull cycle \u2013 although it does give more credence to another bull market-ending pattern<\/a> that could be developing.<\/p>\n
According to Elliott Wave Theory<\/a>, markets grow in five waves. These five impulse waves are broken down into similarly-behaving sub-waves that alternate between uptrend and corrective phases. In the larger cycle, these corrective phases are what we call bear markets. In smaller timeframes, corrections often feel just as severe as the current sentiment would confirm.<\/p>\n
\"bitcoin<\/p>\n
The good news and the bad news in one chart | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com<\/a><\/pre>\n
Bitcoin appears to be well into its fifth impulse wave in the major motive wave cycle. The current count would suggest that the cryptocurrency is also within wave four<\/a> of five sub-waves, hinting that the grand finale should unfold the in the year ahead.<\/p>\n
Related Reading | Bitcoin Falls Flat: Examining A Rare Bull Market Corrective Pattern<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n
If Bitcoin price does make it to $100,000 or higher, given the TD9 sell setup on the yearly, and the potential wave structure, this might be a sell signal worth taking. But when?<\/p>\n
Follow <\/i><\/b>@TonySpilotroBTC on Twitter<\/i><\/b><\/a> or join\u00a0<\/i><\/b>the TonyTradesBTC Telegram<\/i><\/b><\/a> for exclusive daily market insights and technical analysis education<\/i><\/b>. Please note: Content is\u00a0educational and should not be\u00a0considered investment advice.<\/i><\/b><\/p>\n
Featured image from iStockPhoto, Charts from TradingView.com<\/pre>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
When the December 31, 2021 candle came to a close in Bitcoin, it didn’t just begin a new calendar year \u2013 it triggered a sell setup of epic proportions. Here is why the secular bull run in cryptocurrency could come to an end this year, and the first true bear market emerge. Bitcoin Yearly Chart Triggers First Ever Sell Setup You wouldn’t know it based on the recently bearish price action, but Bitcoin has been in an ongoing bull market since the second the genesis block was generated exactly thirteen years ago today. In the span of a normal childhood growing into a teenager, the price per coin has ballooned and bubbled its way from zero to $68,000 per BTC. Related Reading | Point & Figure: The Chart That Makes Bitcoin Support Cut And Dry The trajectory hasn’t always been up, as the price chart has shown, but the asset has been outrageously bullish nonetheless. Many indicators back up this theory, having never crossed into bear territory ever once since price was recorded. For example, the monthly MACD hasn’t made it below the zero line since 2015 despite the 2018-2019 “bear market.” The monthly Directional Movement Index had only a month-long temporary bear cross around mid-2015, but aside from that has never been bearish for an extended phase. However, the sequence of ups and downs experienced over the years, like any thirteen-year-old would experience, has resulted in a specific sell setup according to the TD Sequential. The tool is a market timing indicator developed by Thomas DeMark \u2013 which on other timeframes has been useful in calling reversals. The signal that makes you want to scream “nine!” | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com At thirteen years since the asset’s debut, the first ever TD9 sell setup has appeared on the BTCUSD yearly price chart. On the TradingView BTCUSD Index, price action began in 2010. Bear market years of 2014-2015 and 2018-2019 excluded, there have been exactly 9 candles with a higher open than the previous candles \u2013 triggering the sell setup. Theorizing The End Of The Secular Bull Run Despite the ominous signal, all is not lost for the current bull cycle \u2013 although it does give more credence to another bull market-ending pattern that could be developing. According to Elliott Wave Theory, markets grow in five waves. These five impulse waves are broken down into similarly-behaving sub-waves that alternate between uptrend and corrective phases. In the larger cycle, these corrective phases are what we call bear markets. In smaller timeframes, corrections often feel just as severe as the current sentiment would confirm. The good news and the bad news in one chart | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com Bitcoin appears to be well into its fifth impulse wave in the major motive wave cycle. The current count would suggest that the cryptocurrency is also within wave four of five sub-waves, hinting that the grand finale should unfold the in the year ahead. Related Reading | Bitcoin Falls Flat: Examining A Rare Bull Market Corrective Pattern If Bitcoin price does make it to $100,000 or higher, given the TD9 sell setup on the yearly, and the potential wave structure, this might be a sell signal worth taking. But when? Follow @TonySpilotroBTC on Twitter or join\u00a0the TonyTradesBTC Telegram for exclusive daily market insights and technical analysis education. Please note: Content is\u00a0educational and should not be\u00a0considered investment advice. Featured image from iStockPhoto, Charts from TradingView.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":517,"featured_media":480250,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[428,1119,1144,58757,58580],"class_list":["post-480240","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-btcusd","tag-elliott-wave-theory","tag-td-sequential"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n2022: The Year The Secular Bitcoin Bull Run Could End<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"When the December 31, 2021 candle came to a close in Bitcoin, it didn't just begin a new calendar year \u2013 it triggered a sell setup of epic proportions.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link 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As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market. A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony\u2019s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements. Beyond his role at NewsBTC, Tony is the visionary founder of CoinChartist.io, an educational platform aimed at demystifying the nuances of cryptocurrency trading. CoinChartist.io serves as a valuable resource for traders seeking to enhance their technical analysis skills. The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions. In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony\u2019s expertise to guide their trading strategies. Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies. Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders. His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics. Tony\u2019s nickname, \"The Bull,\" aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice. In summary, Tony \"The Bull\" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.","sameAs":["https:\/\/coinchartist.io\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/coinchartist_io\/","https:\/\/x.com\/https:\/\/twitter.com\/tonythebullBTC","https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@coinchartist_io"],"url":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/author\/tonymspilotro\/"}]}},"parsely":{"version":"1.1.0","meta":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@type":"NewsArticle","headline":"2022: The Year The Secular Bitcoin Bull Run Could End","url":"http:\/\/wncen.com\/news\/2022-the-year-the-secular-bitcoin-bull-run-could-end\/","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"http:\/\/wncen.com\/news\/2022-the-year-the-secular-bitcoin-bull-run-could-end\/"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/bitcoin-sell-signal-iStock-1353708447.jpeg?resize=200%2C200","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/bitcoin-sell-signal-iStock-1353708447.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024"},"articleSection":"Cryptocurrency Market News","author":[{"@type":"Person","name":"Tony \"The Bull\" Severino"}],"creator":["Tony \"The Bull\" Severino"],"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"NewsBTC","logo":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/cropped-cropped-cropped-favicon.png?w=32"},"keywords":["bitcoin","btc","btcusd","elliott wave theory","td sequential"],"dateCreated":"2022-01-03T17:12:14Z","datePublished":"2022-01-03T17:12:14Z","dateModified":"2024-06-11T14:10:20Z"},"rendered":"<script type=\"application\/ld+json\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"headline\":\"2022: The Year The Secular Bitcoin Bull Run Could End\",\"url\":\"http:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/news\\\/2022-the-year-the-secular-bitcoin-bull-run-could-end\\\/\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"http:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/news\\\/2022-the-year-the-secular-bitcoin-bull-run-could-end\\\/\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2022\\\/01\\\/bitcoin-sell-signal-iStock-1353708447.jpeg?resize=200%2C200\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2022\\\/01\\\/bitcoin-sell-signal-iStock-1353708447.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024\"},\"articleSection\":\"Cryptocurrency Market News\",\"author\":[{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Tony \\\"The Bull\\\" Severino\"}],\"creator\":[\"Tony \\\"The Bull\\\" Severino\"],\"publisher\":{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"name\":\"NewsBTC\",\"logo\":\"https:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2020\\\/06\\\/cropped-cropped-cropped-favicon.png?w=32\"},\"keywords\":[\"bitcoin\",\"btc\",\"btcusd\",\"elliott wave theory\",\"td sequential\"],\"dateCreated\":\"2022-01-03T17:12:14Z\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-01-03T17:12:14Z\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-06-11T14:10:20Z\"}<\/script>","tracker_url":"https:\/\/cdn.parsely.com\/keys\/wncen.com\/p.js"},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/bitcoin-sell-signal-iStock-1353708447.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024","amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/480240","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/517"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=480240"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/480240\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/480250"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=480240"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=480240"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=480240"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}