{"id":487746,"date":"2022-04-07T19:00:13","date_gmt":"2022-04-07T19:00:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/?p=487746"},"modified":"2024-06-11T14:19:00","modified_gmt":"2024-06-11T14:19:00","slug":"quant-bitcoin-funding-rate-predicted-top","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/news\/quant-bitcoin-funding-rate-predicted-top\/","title":{"rendered":"Quant Explains How Bitcoin Funding Rate Predicted The Latest Top"},"content":{"rendered":"

A quant has explained how the Bitcoin funding rate (72 hour) may be able to correctly signal tops and bottoms in the price of the crypto.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin Funding Rate May Be Able To Indicate Tops And Bottoms In The Market<\/h2>\n

As explained by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post<\/a>, the 72-hour version of the funding rate looks to have been effective at pointing out tops and bottoms in the BTC market.<\/p>\n

The “funding rate<\/a>” is the periodic payment that Bitcoin futures traders (either long or short) have to make between each other.<\/p>\n

When the value of this metric is negative, it means shorts are paying a premium to the longs to keep their positions right now.<\/p>\n

Such values show there are more shorts in the futures market at the moment, and the majority sentiment is bearish.<\/p>\n

On the other hand, positive values of the indicator imply longs are dominating the shorts currently. Naturally, this trend means the overall sentiment is bullish in the Bitcoin market currently.<\/p>\n

Related Reading |\u00a0Bitcoin Trading Volume Continues To Remain At Low Levels<\/a><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the BTC funding rate (72 hour) over the past few months:<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin<\/p>\n

The relation between the BTC price and the funding rate | Source: CryptoQuant<\/a><\/pre>\n
As you can see in the above graph, the quant has marked the relevant points that help establish a correlation between the Bitcoin funding rates and the price.<\/p>\n
It looks like whenever the indicator had a rising value along with the price observing a decline, a sharp correction in the value of BTC took place shortly after.<\/p>\n
Related Reading |\u00a0Bitcoin Exchange Traded Products Near 1% Of Total BTC Supply<\/a><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n
This is because investors kept on adding longs (hence why the funding rate became more positive) when the price was instead going down. Such a trade is quite risky as if the trend of decline continues for long, then liquidation can quickly happen.<\/p>\n
A large amount of long liquidations can sharply drive the price down, a process that’s called a “long squeeze<\/a>.” However, an interesting fact here is that the funding rates still had a very low value, which means there weren’t that many longs present.<\/p>\n
The analyst in the post has pointed out that any small adjustment in the indicator can affect the price and investor psychology during periods with such volumes.<\/p>\n
The metric still seems to have been effective at indicating tops recently as the latest correction in the price of Bitcoin took place soon after a spike in the funding rate.<\/p>\n
BTC Price<\/h2>\n
At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price<\/a> floats around $43.7k, down 7% in the past week.<\/p>\n
\"Bitcoin<\/p>\n
BTC's price plunges down | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView<\/a><\/pre>\n
Featured image from Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com<\/pre>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
A quant has explained how the Bitcoin funding rate (72 hour) may be able to correctly signal tops and bottoms in the price of the crypto. Bitcoin Funding Rate May Be Able To Indicate Tops And Bottoms In The Market As explained by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post, the 72-hour version of the funding rate looks to have been effective at pointing out tops and bottoms in the BTC market. The “funding rate” is the periodic payment that Bitcoin futures traders (either long or short) have to make between each other. When the value of this metric is negative, it means shorts are paying a premium to the longs to keep their positions right now. Such values show there are more shorts in the futures market at the moment, and the majority sentiment is bearish. On the other hand, positive values of the indicator imply longs are dominating the shorts currently. Naturally, this trend means the overall sentiment is bullish in the Bitcoin market currently. Related Reading |\u00a0Bitcoin Trading Volume Continues To Remain At Low Levels Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the BTC funding rate (72 hour) over the past few months: The relation between the BTC price and the funding rate | Source: CryptoQuant As you can see in the above graph, the quant has marked the relevant points that help establish a correlation between the Bitcoin funding rates and the price. It looks like whenever the indicator had a rising value along with the price observing a decline, a sharp correction in the value of BTC took place shortly after. Related Reading |\u00a0Bitcoin Exchange Traded Products Near 1% Of Total BTC Supply This is because investors kept on adding longs (hence why the funding rate became more positive) when the price was instead going down. Such a trade is quite risky as if the trend of decline continues for long, then liquidation can quickly happen. A large amount of long liquidations can sharply drive the price down, a process that’s called a “long squeeze.” However, an interesting fact here is that the funding rates still had a very low value, which means there weren’t that many longs present. The analyst in the post has pointed out that any small adjustment in the indicator can affect the price and investor psychology during periods with such volumes. The metric still seems to have been effective at indicating tops recently as the latest correction in the price of Bitcoin took place soon after a spike in the funding rate. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price floats around $43.7k, down 7% in the past week. BTC’s price plunges down | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView Featured image from Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":542,"featured_media":487755,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[428,85781,1119,1144],"class_list":["post-487746","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-funding-rate","tag-btc","tag-btcusd"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nQuant Explains How Bitcoin Funding Rate Predicted The Latest Top<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"A quant has explained how the Bitcoin funding rate (72 hour) may be able to correctly signal tops and bottoms in the price of the crypto. 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Keshav has been writing for many years, first as a hobbyist and later as a freelancer. He has experience working in a variety of niches, even fiction at one point, but the cryptocurrency industry has been the longest he has been attached to. In terms of official educational qualifications, Keshav holds a bachelor\u2019s degree in Physics from one of the premier institutes of India, the University of Delhi (DU). He started the degree with an aim of eventually making a career in Physics, but the onset of COVID led to a shift in plans. The virus meant that the college classes had to be delivered in the online-mode and with it came free time for him to explore other passions. Initially only seeking to make some beer money, Keshav unexpectedly landed clients offering real projects, after which there was no looking back. Writing was something he had always enjoyed and to be able to do it for a living was like a dream come true. Keshav completed his Physics degree in 2022 and has been focusing on his writing career since, but that doesn\u2019t mean his passion for Physics has ended. He eventually plans to re-enter university to obtain a masters degree in the same field, but perhaps only to satiate his own interest rather than for using it as a means to find employment.. Keshav has found blockchain and its concepts fascinating ever since he started going down the rabbit-hole back in 2020. On-chain analysis in particular has been something he likes to research more about, which is why his NewsBTC pieces tend to involve it in some form. Being of the science background, Keshav likes if concepts are clear and consistent, so he generally explains the indicators he talks about in a bit of detail so that the readers can perhaps come out having understood and learnt something new. As for hobbies, Keshav is super into football, anime, and videogames. He enjoys football not only as a watcher, but also as a player. For games, Keshav generally tends towards enjoying singleplayer adventures, with EA FC (formerly FIFA) being the only online game he is active in. Though, perhaps due to being ultra-focused on the game, he is today a semi-pro on the EA FC scene, regularly participating in tournaments and sometimes even taking back prize money. Because of his enthusiasm for anime and games, he also self-learned Japanese along the way to consume some of the untranslated gems out there. The skill didn\u2019t merely remain as just a hobby, either, as he put it to productive use during his exploration for small-time gigs at the start of COVID, fulfilling a couple of Japanese-to-English translation jobs. Keshav is also big into fitness, with agility and acceleration-related workouts making a big part of his program due to the relevance they have in football. On top of that, he also has a more traditional strength based program for the gym, which he does to maintain an overall fitness level of his body.","sameAs":["https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/keshavverma29\/","https:\/\/x.com\/https:\/\/twitter.com\/keshavvarma29"],"url":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/author\/hououinkyouma29\/"}]}},"parsely":{"version":"1.1.0","meta":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@type":"NewsArticle","headline":"Quant Explains How Bitcoin Funding Rate Predicted The Latest Top","url":"http:\/\/wncen.com\/news\/quant-bitcoin-funding-rate-predicted-top\/","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"http:\/\/wncen.com\/news\/quant-bitcoin-funding-rate-predicted-top\/"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/kanchanara-JswpRvKR-oE-unsplash-2-scaled.jpg?resize=200%2C200","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/kanchanara-JswpRvKR-oE-unsplash-2-scaled.jpg?fit=2560%2C1703"},"articleSection":"Cryptocurrency Market News","author":[{"@type":"Person","name":"Keshav Verma"}],"creator":["Keshav Verma"],"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"NewsBTC","logo":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/cropped-cropped-cropped-favicon.png?w=32"},"keywords":["bitcoin","bitcoin funding rate","btc","btcusd"],"dateCreated":"2022-04-07T19:00:13Z","datePublished":"2022-04-07T19:00:13Z","dateModified":"2024-06-11T14:19:00Z"},"rendered":"<script type=\"application\/ld+json\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"headline\":\"Quant Explains How Bitcoin Funding Rate Predicted The Latest Top\",\"url\":\"http:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/news\\\/quant-bitcoin-funding-rate-predicted-top\\\/\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"http:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/news\\\/quant-bitcoin-funding-rate-predicted-top\\\/\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2022\\\/04\\\/kanchanara-JswpRvKR-oE-unsplash-2-scaled.jpg?resize=200%2C200\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2022\\\/04\\\/kanchanara-JswpRvKR-oE-unsplash-2-scaled.jpg?fit=2560%2C1703\"},\"articleSection\":\"Cryptocurrency Market News\",\"author\":[{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Keshav Verma\"}],\"creator\":[\"Keshav Verma\"],\"publisher\":{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"name\":\"NewsBTC\",\"logo\":\"https:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2020\\\/06\\\/cropped-cropped-cropped-favicon.png?w=32\"},\"keywords\":[\"bitcoin\",\"bitcoin funding rate\",\"btc\",\"btcusd\"],\"dateCreated\":\"2022-04-07T19:00:13Z\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-04-07T19:00:13Z\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-06-11T14:19:00Z\"}<\/script>","tracker_url":"https:\/\/cdn.parsely.com\/keys\/wncen.com\/p.js"},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/kanchanara-JswpRvKR-oE-unsplash-2-scaled.jpg?fit=2560%2C1703","amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/487746","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/542"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=487746"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/487746\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/487755"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=487746"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=487746"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=487746"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}