{"id":515714,"date":"2023-01-11T08:30:48","date_gmt":"2023-01-11T13:30:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/?p=515714"},"modified":"2024-06-11T08:30:23","modified_gmt":"2024-06-11T08:30:23","slug":"bitcoin-stable-gold-dxy-nasdaq-happen","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/news\/bitcoin-stable-gold-dxy-nasdaq-happen\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Currently More Stable Than Gold, DXY, Nasdaq, Here’s What Could Happen Next"},"content":{"rendered":"

Data shows Bitcoin has been more stable than gold, DXY, Nasdaq, and S&P 500 recently, here’s what history says could follow next.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin 5-Day Volatility Has Fallen Below That Of Gold, DXY, Nasdaq, And S&P 500<\/h2>\n

According to the latest weekly report from Arcane Research<\/a>, BTC has been more stable than these assets for a record duration already this year. The “volatility<\/a>” is an indicator that measures the deviation of daily returns from the average for Bitcoin.<\/p>\n

When the value of this metric is high, it means the crypto has been registering a higher amount of returns compared to the mean, suggesting that the coin has involved a higher trading risk recently. On the other hand, low values imply there haven’t been any significant fluctuations in the price in recent days, showing that the market has been stale.<\/p>\n

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the 30-day volatility for Bitcoin over the course of its entire history:<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin<\/p>\n

The value of the metric seems to have plunged in recent days | Source: Arcane Research's Ahead of the Curve - January 10<\/a><\/pre>\n
As shown in the above graph, the Bitcoin 30-day volatility is at very low levels currently as the price has been trading mostly sideways in recent weeks. The current values of the indicator are the lowest since 2020, but they are still higher than some of the lows during previous bear markets<\/a>.<\/p>\n
Related Reading: Shiba Inu Bullish Signal: Whale Withdraws $34.7M In SHIB From Binance<\/a><\/div>\n
One consequence of this recent flat movement has been that BTC has become more stable than assets like gold<\/a>, DXY, Nasdaq, and S&P 500. To compare these assets’ volatilities against each other, the report has made use of the 5-day volatility (and not the 30-day or 7-day one).<\/p>\n
The below table highlights the periods in BTC’s lifetime when the crypto’s 5-day volatility has been simultaneously lower than all these traditional assets.<\/p>\n
\"Bitcoin<\/p>\n
Looks like such occurrences have been a very rare event | Source: Arcane Research's Ahead of the Curve - January 10<\/a><\/pre>\n
As the table displays, there have only ever been a handful of instances where the Bitcoin 5-day volatility has been lower than that of gold, DXY, Nasdaq, and S&P 500 at the same time. The report labels such occurrences as “relative volatility compression” periods.<\/p>\n
It seems like, before the latest streak, the highest duration of this trend was just 2 consecutive days. This means that the current relative volatility compression period is already the longest ever in the coin’s history.<\/p>\n
Related Reading: Bitcoin Exchange Inflows Fall To 2020 Levels As Activity Remains Low<\/a><\/div>\n
Another interesting fact in the table is the total returns in Bitcoin that were observed in the 30-day period following the first date of the volatility compression in each of these instances. Besides one occurrence (September 29, 2022), all other volatility compression periods were succeeded by the price becoming highly volatile and registering large returns.<\/p>\n
It now remains to be seen whether a similar pattern will follow this time as well, with Bitcoin experiencing a wild next 30 days after this seriously flat price action.<\/p>\n
BTC Price<\/h2>\n
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $17,400, up 3% in the last week.<\/p>\n
\"Bitcoin<\/p>\n
BTC has surged in the last few days | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView<\/a><\/pre>\n
Featured image from Jievani Weerasinghe on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, Arcane Research<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Data shows Bitcoin has been more stable than gold, DXY, Nasdaq, and S&P 500 recently, here’s what history says could follow next. Bitcoin 5-Day Volatility Has Fallen Below That Of Gold, DXY, Nasdaq, And S&P 500 According to the latest weekly report from Arcane Research, BTC has been more stable than these assets for a record duration already this year. The “volatility” is an indicator that measures the deviation of daily returns from the average for Bitcoin. When the value of this metric is high, it means the crypto has been registering a higher amount of returns compared to the mean, suggesting that the coin has involved a higher trading risk recently. On the other hand, low values imply there haven’t been any significant fluctuations in the price in recent days, showing that the market has been stale. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the 30-day volatility for Bitcoin over the course of its entire history: The value of the metric seems to have plunged in recent days | Source: Arcane Research’s Ahead of the Curve – January 10 As shown in the above graph, the Bitcoin 30-day volatility is at very low levels currently as the price has been trading mostly sideways in recent weeks. The current values of the indicator are the lowest since 2020, but they are still higher than some of the lows during previous bear markets. Related Reading: Shiba Inu Bullish Signal: Whale Withdraws $34.7M In SHIB From Binance One consequence of this recent flat movement has been that BTC has become more stable than assets like gold, DXY, Nasdaq, and S&P 500. To compare these assets’ volatilities against each other, the report has made use of the 5-day volatility (and not the 30-day or 7-day one). The below table highlights the periods in BTC’s lifetime when the crypto’s 5-day volatility has been simultaneously lower than all these traditional assets. Looks like such occurrences have been a very rare event | Source: Arcane Research’s Ahead of the Curve – January 10 As the table displays, there have only ever been a handful of instances where the Bitcoin 5-day volatility has been lower than that of gold, DXY, Nasdaq, and S&P 500 at the same time. The report labels such occurrences as “relative volatility compression” periods. It seems like, before the latest streak, the highest duration of this trend was just 2 consecutive days. This means that the current relative volatility compression period is already the longest ever in the coin’s history. Related Reading: Bitcoin Exchange Inflows Fall To 2020 Levels As Activity Remains Low Another interesting fact in the table is the total returns in Bitcoin that were observed in the 30-day period following the first date of the volatility compression in each of these instances. Besides one occurrence (September 29, 2022), all other volatility compression periods were succeeded by the price becoming highly volatile and registering large returns. It now remains to be seen whether a similar pattern will follow this time as well, with Bitcoin experiencing a wild next 30 days after this seriously flat price action. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $17,400, up 3% in the last week. BTC has surged in the last few days | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView Featured image from Jievani Weerasinghe on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, Arcane Research<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":542,"featured_media":515725,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[428,87421,790,1119,1144,79522,2209,3110,3738],"class_list":["post-515714","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-5-day-volatility","tag-bitcoin-volatility","tag-btc","tag-btcusd","tag-dxy","tag-gold","tag-nasdaq","tag-sp-500"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin Currently More Stable Than Gold, DXY, Nasdaq, Here's What Could Happen Next<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Data shows Bitcoin has been more stable than gold, DXY, Nasdaq, and S&P 500 recently, here's what history says could follow next. 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Keshav has been writing for many years, first as a hobbyist and later as a freelancer. He has experience working in a variety of niches, even fiction at one point, but the cryptocurrency industry has been the longest he has been attached to. In terms of official educational qualifications, Keshav holds a bachelor\u2019s degree in Physics from one of the premier institutes of India, the University of Delhi (DU). He started the degree with an aim of eventually making a career in Physics, but the onset of COVID led to a shift in plans. The virus meant that the college classes had to be delivered in the online-mode and with it came free time for him to explore other passions. Initially only seeking to make some beer money, Keshav unexpectedly landed clients offering real projects, after which there was no looking back. Writing was something he had always enjoyed and to be able to do it for a living was like a dream come true. Keshav completed his Physics degree in 2022 and has been focusing on his writing career since, but that doesn\u2019t mean his passion for Physics has ended. He eventually plans to re-enter university to obtain a masters degree in the same field, but perhaps only to satiate his own interest rather than for using it as a means to find employment.. Keshav has found blockchain and its concepts fascinating ever since he started going down the rabbit-hole back in 2020. On-chain analysis in particular has been something he likes to research more about, which is why his NewsBTC pieces tend to involve it in some form. Being of the science background, Keshav likes if concepts are clear and consistent, so he generally explains the indicators he talks about in a bit of detail so that the readers can perhaps come out having understood and learnt something new. As for hobbies, Keshav is super into football, anime, and videogames. He enjoys football not only as a watcher, but also as a player. For games, Keshav generally tends towards enjoying singleplayer adventures, with EA FC (formerly FIFA) being the only online game he is active in. Though, perhaps due to being ultra-focused on the game, he is today a semi-pro on the EA FC scene, regularly participating in tournaments and sometimes even taking back prize money. Because of his enthusiasm for anime and games, he also self-learned Japanese along the way to consume some of the untranslated gems out there. The skill didn\u2019t merely remain as just a hobby, either, as he put it to productive use during his exploration for small-time gigs at the start of COVID, fulfilling a couple of Japanese-to-English translation jobs. Keshav is also big into fitness, with agility and acceleration-related workouts making a big part of his program due to the relevance they have in football. On top of that, he also has a more traditional strength based program for the gym, which he does to maintain an overall fitness level of his body.","sameAs":["https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/keshavverma29\/","https:\/\/x.com\/https:\/\/twitter.com\/keshavvarma29"],"url":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/author\/hououinkyouma29\/"}]}},"parsely":{"version":"1.1.0","meta":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@type":"NewsArticle","headline":"Bitcoin Currently More Stable Than Gold, DXY, Nasdaq, Here’s What Could Happen Next","url":"http:\/\/wncen.com\/news\/bitcoin-stable-gold-dxy-nasdaq-happen\/","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"http:\/\/wncen.com\/news\/bitcoin-stable-gold-dxy-nasdaq-happen\/"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/jievani-weerasinghe-NHRM1u4GD_A-unsplash-1-scaled.jpg?resize=200%2C200","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/jievani-weerasinghe-NHRM1u4GD_A-unsplash-1-scaled.jpg?fit=2560%2C1570"},"articleSection":"Cryptocurrency Market News","author":[{"@type":"Person","name":"Keshav Verma"}],"creator":["Keshav Verma"],"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"NewsBTC","logo":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/cropped-cropped-cropped-favicon.png?w=32"},"keywords":["bitcoin","bitcoin 5-day volatility","bitcoin volatility","btc","btcusd","dxy","gold","nasdaq","s&p 500"],"dateCreated":"2023-01-11T13:30:48Z","datePublished":"2023-01-11T13:30:48Z","dateModified":"2024-06-11T08:30:23Z"},"rendered":"<script type=\"application\/ld+json\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"headline\":\"Bitcoin Currently More Stable Than Gold, DXY, Nasdaq, Here’s What Could Happen Next\",\"url\":\"http:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/news\\\/bitcoin-stable-gold-dxy-nasdaq-happen\\\/\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"http:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/news\\\/bitcoin-stable-gold-dxy-nasdaq-happen\\\/\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2023\\\/01\\\/jievani-weerasinghe-NHRM1u4GD_A-unsplash-1-scaled.jpg?resize=200%2C200\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2023\\\/01\\\/jievani-weerasinghe-NHRM1u4GD_A-unsplash-1-scaled.jpg?fit=2560%2C1570\"},\"articleSection\":\"Cryptocurrency Market News\",\"author\":[{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Keshav Verma\"}],\"creator\":[\"Keshav Verma\"],\"publisher\":{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"name\":\"NewsBTC\",\"logo\":\"https:\\\/\\\/wncen.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2020\\\/06\\\/cropped-cropped-cropped-favicon.png?w=32\"},\"keywords\":[\"bitcoin\",\"bitcoin 5-day volatility\",\"bitcoin volatility\",\"btc\",\"btcusd\",\"dxy\",\"gold\",\"nasdaq\",\"s&p 500\"],\"dateCreated\":\"2023-01-11T13:30:48Z\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-01-11T13:30:48Z\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-06-11T08:30:23Z\"}<\/script>","tracker_url":"https:\/\/cdn.parsely.com\/keys\/wncen.com\/p.js"},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/jievani-weerasinghe-NHRM1u4GD_A-unsplash-1-scaled.jpg?fit=2560%2C1570","amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/515714"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/542"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=515714"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/515714\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/515725"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=515714"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=515714"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=515714"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}