{"id":523114,"date":"2023-03-14T23:03:04","date_gmt":"2023-03-14T23:03:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/?p=523114"},"modified":"2024-06-11T07:46:57","modified_gmt":"2024-06-11T07:46:57","slug":"bitcoin-breaking-26k-cancel-bear-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/news\/bitcoin-breaking-26k-cancel-bear-market\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Breaking Above $26K Could Cancel Crypto Winter"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin, like many other cryptocurrencies, has taken a beating during the most recent crypto winter. But with spring right around the corner, the crypto market is heating up.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

BTCUSD was rejected after briefly making it above $26K per coin today. But above this barrier, the bear market could be officially cancelled. Here\u2019s a closer look at why.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

The Painstaking Process Of Picking Bitcoin Bottoms<\/h2>\n

Bottoms in markets are challenging to call, and aren\u2019t confirmed until long in hindsight. But this also means as an investor or trader you could be left in the rear view mirror of the next bull train to new all-time highs.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

A vast amount of effort goes into technical tools designed to tell analysts if an asset has bottomed or topped. Bitcoin, as volatile as it is, makes things even more confusing, but there are some tools which show some success.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Makes New 2023 High, Breaches Above $26K<\/a><\/div>\n

For example, the \u201cPi Cycle Top Indicator\u201d has famously called each crypto bull run peak. No such tools has a perfect track record on bottoms, but because of the proof-of-work system behind Bitcoin, we could have some idea of a theoretical price floor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

The chart below depicts the cost to produce each BTC, which has been flatlining for months, and for the first time ever forming a longer-term base. This type of base-building is evident in commodities, which frequently bottom around the cost of production. Why would Bitcoin be so different?<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin<\/p>\n

Moving above the cost of production has put in past bottoms | BTCUSD on TradingView.com<\/a><\/pre>\n

Why Cracking $26K Could Cancel Crypto Winter<\/h2>\n

Even Satoshi knew that prices of commodity-like assets would \u201cgravitate\u201d toward the cost to produce after supply sufficiently outweighs demand.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span>\u201cThe price of any commodity tends to gravitate toward the production cost. If the price is below cost, then production slows down. If the price is above cost, profit can be made by generating and selling more. At the same time, the increased production would increase the difficulty, pushing the cost of generating towards the price,\u201d Satoshi said in a 2010 BitcoinTalk forum thread.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Related Reading: Calm Before The Storm? 7,000% ROI Bitcoin Signal Resurfaces<\/a><\/div>\n

Bitcoin has spent a considerable amount of time grinding against this floor without breaking it. The cost of production tool created by Charles Edwards has an upper and lower threshold. The upper threshold lies just above $26,000, making the key level especially important from a cost of production perspective.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Above this level in the past has resulted in some of the largest bull runs in recent years. If BTCUSD can cleanly crack above $26K, it could be the last time the top cryptocurrency ever trades below $20K again. It also could officially cancel crypto winter and give way to an extra hot crypto summer.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Follow @TonyTheBullBTC on Twitter<\/a> or join\u00a0the TonyTradesBTC Telegram<\/a> for exclusive daily market insights and technical analysis education. Please note: Content is\u00a0educational and should not be\u00a0considered investment advice. Featured image from iStockPhoto, Charts from TradingView.com<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin, like many other cryptocurrencies, has taken a beating during the most recent crypto winter. But with spring right around the corner, the crypto market is heating up.\u00a0 BTCUSD was rejected after briefly making it above $26K per coin today. But above this barrier, the bear market could be officially cancelled. Here\u2019s a closer look at why.\u00a0 The Painstaking Process Of Picking Bitcoin Bottoms Bottoms in markets are challenging to call, and aren\u2019t confirmed until long in hindsight. But this also means as an investor or trader you could be left in the rear view mirror of the next bull train to new all-time highs.\u00a0 A vast amount of effort goes into technical tools designed to tell analysts if an asset has bottomed or topped. Bitcoin, as volatile as it is, makes things even more confusing, but there are some tools which show some success.\u00a0 Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Makes New 2023 High, Breaches Above $26K For example, the \u201cPi Cycle Top Indicator\u201d has famously called each crypto bull run peak. No such tools has a perfect track record on bottoms, but because of the proof-of-work system behind Bitcoin, we could have some idea of a theoretical price floor.\u00a0 The chart below depicts the cost to produce each BTC, which has been flatlining for months, and for the first time ever forming a longer-term base. This type of base-building is evident in commodities, which frequently bottom around the cost of production. Why would Bitcoin be so different? Moving above the cost of production has put in past bottoms | BTCUSD on TradingView.com Why Cracking $26K Could Cancel Crypto Winter Even Satoshi knew that prices of commodity-like assets would \u201cgravitate\u201d toward the cost to produce after supply sufficiently outweighs demand. \u00a0\u201cThe price of any commodity tends to gravitate toward the production cost. If the price is below cost, then production slows down. If the price is above cost, profit can be made by generating and selling more. At the same time, the increased production would increase the difficulty, pushing the cost of generating towards the price,\u201d Satoshi said in a 2010 BitcoinTalk forum thread.\u00a0 Related Reading: Calm Before The Storm? 7,000% ROI Bitcoin Signal Resurfaces Bitcoin has spent a considerable amount of time grinding against this floor without breaking it. The cost of production tool created by Charles Edwards has an upper and lower threshold. The upper threshold lies just above $26,000, making the key level especially important from a cost of production perspective.\u00a0 Above this level in the past has resulted in some of the largest bull runs in recent years. If BTCUSD can cleanly crack above $26K, it could be the last time the top cryptocurrency ever trades below $20K again. It also could officially cancel crypto winter and give way to an extra hot crypto summer.\u00a0 Follow @TonyTheBullBTC on Twitter or join\u00a0the TonyTradesBTC Telegram for exclusive daily market insights and technical analysis education. Please note: Content is\u00a0educational and should not be\u00a0considered investment advice. Featured image from iStockPhoto, Charts from TradingView.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":517,"featured_media":523118,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[428,1119,1144,78790,6664,4524,76835],"class_list":["post-523114","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-btcusd","tag-btcusdt","tag-crypto","tag-xbt","tag-xbtusd"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin Breaking Above $26K Could Cancel Crypto Winter<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin, like many other cryptocurrencies, has taken a beating during the most recent crypto winter. 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The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions. In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony\u2019s expertise to guide their trading strategies. Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies. 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