{"id":642406,"date":"2024-09-16T17:04:12","date_gmt":"2024-09-16T17:04:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/?p=642406"},"modified":"2024-09-16T17:04:12","modified_gmt":"2024-09-16T17:04:12","slug":"crypto-trends-to-watch-analyst-details-10-reasons-that-could-lead-to-massive-q4-gains","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wncen.com\/breaking-news-ticker\/crypto-trends-to-watch-analyst-details-10-reasons-that-could-lead-to-massive-q4-gains\/","title":{"rendered":"Crypto Trends To Watch: Analyst Details 10 Reasons That Could Lead To Massive Q4 Gains"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">As the crypto market grapples with significant volatility and uncertainty, expert analyst Miles Deutscher has outlined ten reasons to be optimistic about the year&#8217;s fourth quarter (Q4). With Q4 fast approaching, Deutscher emphasizes that a monumental market shift could catch many investors off guard.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Trends And Factors That Could Impact The Crypto Market<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">In a recent <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/milesdeutscher\/status\/91476783\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">social media pos<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">t, Deutscher broke down his analysis into seasonality, macroeconomic factors, and crypto-specific elements.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Deutscher begins by discussing the concept of seasonality, noting that market movements often follow cyclical patterns.<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"related-reading-shortcode\">Related Reading: <a href=\"https:\/\/wncen.com\/news\/ethereum\/ethereum-danger-analyst-explains-trigger-crash-1800\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">Ethereum In Danger: Analyst Explains What Could Trigger Crash To $1,800<\/a><\/div>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Historically, Q4 has proven to be the strongest quarter for equities, with the S&amp;P 500 gaining an average of 3.8% since 1945 and rising 77% of the time. <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/wncen.com\/bitcoin-news\/is-bitcoin-heading-for-a-bear-market-analysts-weigh-in-on-the-price-struggles\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Bitcoin <\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">(BTC) has also shown notable performance during this period, averaging a return of 88.84%.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Deutscher points to the previous two Halving years, where Bitcoin saw gains of 58.17% in 2016 and 168.02% in 2020. He notes that Q3 typically represents a challenging period for BTC, making the upcoming months particularly significant. The period from October to April is often regarded as crypto&#8217;s &#8220;boom season,&#8221; further underscoring the potential for gains.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Moving beyond seasonal trends, Deutscher highlights several <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/wncen.com\/news\/ethereum\/ethereum-bullish-adoption-four-high-rate\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">macroeconomic factors<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> that could impact the crypto market. With the US federal election just two months away, he suggests a Trump presidency could be more favorable for the market. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">However, a Kamala Harris win would not be catastrophic. Current odds from Polymarket indicate a near 50\/50 split on the election outcome.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Deutscher also points to cooling inflation rates and the anticipation of Federal Reserve rate cuts as pivotal elements. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading is the lowest since February 2021, and a Fed pivot could be imminent. He explains that while rate cuts are often viewed negatively, historical data shows they can be <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/wncen.com\/news\/dogecoin\/dogecoin-rise-3600-to-3-7\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">bullish <\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">during non-recessionary periods.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Additionally, a potential weakening of the US dollar, resulting from rate cuts, would likely benefit risk assets, including Bitcoin. Deutscher emphasizes that Bitcoin is highly correlated with global liquidity and is forecasted to continue rising into 2025, creating a favorable environment for cryptocurrency.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Bullish On Long-Term Growth Prospects<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">In the realm of crypto-specific dynamics, Deutscher notes that many retail investors have been flushed out of the market. Metrics such as Google Trends and social engagement indicate a significant drop in <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/wncen.com\/news\/bitcoin\/bitcoin-price-trend-reversal-is-yet-to-occur\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">retail participation<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">, suggesting that those remaining may be better positioned for potential gains.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The analyst also observes a decline in the Coinbase app&#8217;s rankings, which previously surged during market highs. This trend points to a broader sense of apathy among retail investors, but Deutscher believes that such off-side positioning could pave the way for aggressive market expansion.<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"related-reading-shortcode\">Related Reading: <a href=\"https:\/\/wncen.com\/analysis\/eth\/ethereum-price-nosedives-2250\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">Ethereum Price Nosedives Over 5%, Pressure Mounts on Bulls<\/a><\/div>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Furthermore, Deutscher highlights the upcoming repayment of $16 billion to FTX creditors. Unlike the previous cash drain associated with the Mt. Gox refunds to affected users, these paybacks could inject <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/wncen.com\/news\/bitcoin\/bitcoin-at-a-crossroads-bullish-momentum-meets-selling-pressure-details\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">liquidity <\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">into the market, with many users likely to reinvest their capital.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Ultimately, it is clear that Deutscher presents a bullish case for Q4, and why it could be a turning point for the crypto market. While he acknowledges that volatility is natural in the digital asset ecosystem, he remains optimistic about significant gains in the medium to long term.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure style=\"width: 1815px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/ZystD5Cf\/\" alt=\"Crypto\" width=\"1815\" height=\"858\"><figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">The 1D chart shows that BTC&#8217;s price has been trending downward. Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/chart\/7W2R5XTA\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">BTCUSDT on TradingView.com<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">When writing, the largest cryptocurrency on the market is trading at $57,880, recording losses of nearly 4% in the 24 hours.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As the crypto market grapples with significant volatility and uncertainty, expert analyst Miles Deutscher has outlined ten reasons to be optimistic about the year&#8217;s fourth quarter (Q4). With Q4 fast approaching, Deutscher emphasizes that a monumental market shift could catch many investors off guard. Trends And Factors That Could Impact The Crypto Market In a recent social media post, Deutscher broke down his analysis into seasonality, macroeconomic factors, and crypto-specific elements.\u00a0 Deutscher begins by discussing the concept of seasonality, noting that market movements often follow cyclical patterns. Related Reading: Ethereum In Danger: Analyst Explains What Could Trigger Crash To $1,800 Historically, Q4 has proven to be the strongest quarter for equities, with the S&amp;P 500 gaining an average of 3.8% since 1945 and rising 77% of the time. Bitcoin (BTC) has also shown notable performance during this period, averaging a return of 88.84%. Deutscher points to the previous two Halving years, where Bitcoin saw gains of 58.17% in 2016 and 168.02% in 2020. He notes that Q3 typically represents a challenging period for BTC, making the upcoming months particularly significant. The period from October to April is often regarded as crypto&#8217;s &#8220;boom season,&#8221; further underscoring the potential for gains. Moving beyond seasonal trends, Deutscher highlights several macroeconomic factors that could impact the crypto market. With the US federal election just two months away, he suggests a Trump presidency could be more favorable for the market. However, a Kamala Harris win would not be catastrophic. Current odds from Polymarket indicate a near 50\/50 split on the election outcome. Deutscher also points to cooling inflation rates and the anticipation of Federal Reserve rate cuts as pivotal elements. The recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading is the lowest since February 2021, and a Fed pivot could be imminent. He explains that while rate cuts are often viewed negatively, historical data shows they can be bullish during non-recessionary periods. Additionally, a potential weakening of the US dollar, resulting from rate cuts, would likely benefit risk assets, including Bitcoin. Deutscher emphasizes that Bitcoin is highly correlated with global liquidity and is forecasted to continue rising into 2025, creating a favorable environment for cryptocurrency. Bullish On Long-Term Growth Prospects In the realm of crypto-specific dynamics, Deutscher notes that many retail investors have been flushed out of the market. Metrics such as Google Trends and social engagement indicate a significant drop in retail participation, suggesting that those remaining may be better positioned for potential gains. The analyst also observes a decline in the Coinbase app&#8217;s rankings, which previously surged during market highs. This trend points to a broader sense of apathy among retail investors, but Deutscher believes that such off-side positioning could pave the way for aggressive market expansion. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Nosedives Over 5%, Pressure Mounts on Bulls Furthermore, Deutscher highlights the upcoming repayment of $16 billion to FTX creditors. Unlike the previous cash drain associated with the Mt. Gox refunds to affected users, these paybacks could inject liquidity into the market, with many users likely to reinvest their capital. Ultimately, it is clear that Deutscher presents a bullish case for Q4, and why it could be a turning point for the crypto market. While he acknowledges that volatility is natural in the digital asset ecosystem, he remains optimistic about significant gains in the medium to long term. When writing, the largest cryptocurrency on the market is trading at $57,880, recording losses of nearly 4% in the 24 hours.\u00a0 Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":589,"featured_media":642407,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[86683],"tags":[428,485,679,1144,78790,6664,14690,1558,54512],"class_list":["post-642406","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-breaking-news-ticker","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-chart","tag-bitcoin-price","tag-btcusd","tag-btcusdt","tag-crypto","tag-crypto-news","tag-cryptocurrency","tag-defi"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n<title>Crypto Trends To Watch: Analyst Details 10 Reasons That Could Lead To Massive Q4 Gains<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"As the crypto market 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